Prediction Analysis: Cagliari vs Inter
Cagliari vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-08-30
16:30
Cagliari
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Inter
Away
Prediction Summary
1
25%
X
25%
2
50%
+2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
53%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Cagliari (Home)
Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate37%
Inter (Away)
Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate42%
Team Form last 5 matches
Cagliari
WWLDW
Inter
DDWWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
63%
+0.5
95%
32%
+1.5
68%
16%
+2.5
26%
5%
+3.5
11%
0%
+4.5
5%
37%
BTTS
42%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.
Cagliari averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 2.05 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
25%
Draw
25%
Away Win
50%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Cagliari(A)
0 - 3
Inter
Away
Sep 2025
Cagliari
0 - 2
Inter
Away
Apr 2025
Cagliari(A)
1 - 3
Inter
Away
Dec 2024
Cagliari
0 - 3
Inter
Away
Apr 2024
Cagliari(A)
2 - 2
Inter
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Cagliari won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Cagliari — unbeaten run (home)1
Cagliari — scoring streak (home)1
Inter — winless run (away)1
Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Cagliari Win (1)25%
Draw (X)25%
Inter Win (2)50%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
63%
+0.5
95%
32%
+1.5
68%
16%
+2.5
26%
5%
+3.5
11%
0%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
37%
-0.5
5%
68%
-1.5
32%
84%
-2.5
74%
95%
-3.5
89%
100%
-4.5
95%
Cagliari vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Cagliari — scored (home)1.16
Cagliari — conceded (home)1.21
Inter — scored (away)2.05
Inter — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.71
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
Cagliari — BTTS matches (home)37%
Inter — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)39.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Cagliari (home)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1
Inter (away)
Corners for5.3
Corners against2.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Cagliari
10
9
12
6
10
Inter
10
11
6
12
5
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Cagliari (home)
For2.0
Inter (away)
For2.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.77
Cagliari
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.93
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.64
Inter
Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.84
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.39
Shots per Game
Cagliari — total shots (home)10.7
Inter — total shots (away)16.0
Shots on Target
Cagliari — on target (home)3.4
Inter — on target (away)5.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Cagliari
Inside the box6.71
Outside the box4.21
Inter
Inside the box12.24
Outside the box4.87
Player Shots Cagliari
Zito Luvumbo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Belotti
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Felici
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
G. Borrelli
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots Inter
Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target24%
H. Çalhanoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
F. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Dimarco
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Cagliari xG (home)1.01
Inter xG (away)1.9
Average Possession
45.58%
Possession
59.76%
Team Comparison Cagliari vs Inter
80.03%
Pass accuracy
87.37%
394.18
Passes per match
547.45
-0.02
Goals prevented
-0.25
13.79
Fouls committed
13.13
3.21
Goalkeeper saves
2.03
1.74
Offsides
1.65
16.05
Tackles per match
15.16
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Cagliari vs Inter prediction analysis
Review Cagliari vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights