What markets are included in the Cagliari vs Lecce prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cagliari vs Lecce prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cagliari vs Lecce

Cagliari vs Lecce prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-01-19 14:00

Cagliari

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lecce

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

28%

36%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Cagliari (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate47%

Lecce (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cagliari

LWLLW

Lecce

WWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 53%

32% +1.5 11%

26% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cagliari averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Lecce averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

28%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Cagliari 0 - 2 Lecce Away

Sep 2025 Cagliari(A) 2 - 1 Lecce Home

Jan 2025 Cagliari 4 - 1 Lecce Home

Aug 2024 Cagliari(A) 0 - 1 Lecce Away

May 2024 Cagliari 1 - 1 Lecce Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Cagliari won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Cagliari — unbeaten run (home)1

Cagliari — scoring streak (home)5

Lecce — winless run (away)0

Lecce — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cagliari Win (1)36%

Draw (X)28%

Lecce Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 53%

32% +1.5 11%

26% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 47%

68% -1.5 89%

74% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Cagliari vs Lecce — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cagliari — scored (home)1.26

Cagliari — conceded (home)1.47

Lecce — scored (away)0.74

Lecce — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Cagliari — BTTS matches (home)47%

Lecce — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cagliari (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against4.8

Lecce (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cagliari

5 9 6 16 11

Lecce

15 7 9 7 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Cagliari (home)

For1.4

Lecce (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Cagliari — total shots (home)13.6

Lecce — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Cagliari — on target (home)3.9

Lecce — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cagliari

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box3.39

Lecce

Inside the box6.68

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Cagliari

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Gaetano

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Lapadula

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

N. Viola

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Zappa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Lecce

K. N’Dri

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target9%

Tete Morente

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Krstović

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target24%

P. Dorgu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. Pierotti

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cagliari xG (home)1.13

Lecce xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

44.76% Possession 43.55%

Team Comparison Cagliari vs Lecce

78.68% Pass accuracy 77.63%

370.08 Passes per match 356.13

-0.03 Goals prevented 0.18

13.16 Fouls committed 12.24

2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.39

1.76 Offsides 1.37

14.18 Tackles per match 16.5

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cagliari vs Lecce prediction analysis

Review Cagliari vs Lecce with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights