Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cagliari vs Udinese

Cagliari vs Udinese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-03 13:00
Cagliari
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Udinese
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
26%
2
35%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Cagliari (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

Udinese (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cagliari
LWLLW
Udinese
LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 68%
32% +1.5 26%
26% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Cagliari averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Udinese averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
26%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Cagliari 0 - 2 Udinese Away
Oct 2025 Cagliari(A) 1 - 1 Udinese Draw
May 2025 Cagliari 1 - 2 Udinese Away
Oct 2024 Cagliari(A) 0 - 2 Udinese Away
Feb 2024 Cagliari(A) 1 - 1 Udinese Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Cagliari won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Cagliari — unbeaten run (home)1
Cagliari — scoring streak (home)5
Udinese — winless run (away)1
Udinese — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cagliari Win (1)39%
Draw (X)26%
Udinese Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 68%
32% +1.5 26%
26% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 32%
68% -1.5 74%
74% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Cagliari vs Udinese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cagliari — scored (home)1.26
Cagliari — conceded (home)1.47
Udinese — scored (away)1
Udinese — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Cagliari — BTTS matches (home)47%
Udinese — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cagliari (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.8

Udinese (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cagliari
5 9 6 16 11
Udinese
11 9 7 15 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Cagliari (home)

For1.4

Udinese (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Cagliari — total shots (home)13.6
Udinese — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Cagliari — on target (home)3.9
Udinese — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cagliari

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box3.39

Udinese

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Cagliari

R. Piccoli
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target19%
G. Gaetano
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
G. Lapadula
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
N. Viola
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%
G. Zappa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Udinese

F. Thauvin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Lucca
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Kabasele
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cagliari xG (home)1.13
Udinese xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

44.76% Possession 47.24%

Team Comparison Cagliari vs Udinese

78.68% Pass accuracy 80.89%
370.08 Passes per match 388.42
-0.03 Goals prevented -0.07
13.16 Fouls committed 14.21
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.76 Offsides 1.32
14.18 Tackles per match 14.82

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cagliari vs Udinese prediction analysis

Review Cagliari vs Udinese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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