Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cagliari vs Venezia

Cagliari vs Venezia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-18 18:45
Cagliari
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Venezia
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
26%
2
31%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Cagliari (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

Venezia (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cagliari
LWLLW
Venezia
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 58%
32% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Cagliari averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Venezia averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Cagliari 3 - 0 Venezia Home
Dec 2024 Cagliari(A) 1 - 2 Venezia Away
May 2023 Cagliari 2 - 1 Venezia Home
Feb 2023 Cagliari(A) 0 - 0 Venezia Draw
Oct 2022 Cagliari 1 - 4 Venezia Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cagliari won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Cagliari — unbeaten run (home)1
Cagliari — scoring streak (home)5
Venezia — winless run (away)19
Venezia — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cagliari Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
Venezia Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 58%
32% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 42%
68% -1.5 79%
74% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Cagliari vs Venezia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cagliari — scored (home)1.26
Cagliari — conceded (home)1.47
Venezia — scored (away)0.79
Venezia — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.64

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Cagliari — BTTS matches (home)47%
Venezia — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cagliari (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.8

Venezia (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cagliari
5 9 6 16 11
Venezia
9 6 6 16 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Cagliari (home)

For1.4

Venezia (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Cagliari — total shots (home)13.6
Venezia — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Cagliari — on target (home)3.9
Venezia — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cagliari

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box3.39

Venezia

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Cagliari

R. Piccoli
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target19%
G. Gaetano
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
G. Lapadula
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
N. Viola
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%
G. Zappa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Venezia

J. Pohjanpalo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target25%
H. Nicolussi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Duncan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
G. Oristanio
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Fila
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cagliari xG (home)1.13
Venezia xG (away)0.99

Average Possession

44.76% Possession 44.84%

Team Comparison Cagliari vs Venezia

78.68% Pass accuracy 77.79%
370.08 Passes per match 359.11
-0.03 Goals prevented 0.04
13.16 Fouls committed 13.24
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.7
1.76 Offsides 1.57
14.18 Tackles per match 15.95

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cagliari vs Venezia prediction analysis

Review Cagliari vs Venezia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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