Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cambuur vs Excelsior

Cambuur vs Excelsior prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2026-08-07 18:00
Cambuur
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Excelsior
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
23%
2
39%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cambuur (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Excelsior (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Excelsior
WDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 82%
0% +1.5 41%
0% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cambuur averages 0 goals scored at home, while Excelsior averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
23%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 Cambuur 1 - 0 Excelsior Home
Oct 2024 Cambuur(A) 1 - 0 Excelsior Home
Mar 2023 Cambuur(A) 1 - 4 Excelsior Away
Aug 2022 Cambuur 0 - 2 Excelsior Away
Apr 2021 Cambuur 7 - 2 Excelsior Home

In the last 5 meetings, Cambuur won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Excelsior — winless run (away)0
Excelsior — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cambuur Win (1)38%
Draw (X)23%
Excelsior Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 82%
0% +1.5 41%
0% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 18%
100% -1.5 59%
100% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Cambuur vs Excelsior — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cambuur — scored (home)0
Cambuur — conceded (home)0
Excelsior — scored (away)1.35
Excelsior — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Cambuur — BTTS matches (home)0%
Excelsior — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cambuur (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Excelsior (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Excelsior
7 5 13 5 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.544%
Under 0.556%
Over 1.541%
Under 1.559%
Over 2.527%
Under 2.573%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Cambuur (home)

For—

Excelsior (away)

For1.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.65

Cambuur

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.572%
Shots Over 13.559%
Expected shots15.53
On Target Over 3.575%
On Target Over 4.562%
On Target Over 5.548%
Expected on target5.71

Excelsior

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.11
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.38

Shots per Game

Cambuur — total shots (home)—
Excelsior — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Cambuur — on target (home)—
Excelsior — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cambuur

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Excelsior

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.24

Player Shots Cambuur

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Excelsior

N. Naujoks
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Sanches Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. de Regt
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Yegoian
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Jonathans
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cambuur xG (home)-
Excelsior xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

-% Possession 47.56%

Team Comparison Cambuur vs Excelsior

0% Pass accuracy 77.47%
- Passes per match 404.35
- Goals prevented 0.06
- Fouls committed 12.29
- Goalkeeper saves 3.82
- Offsides 1.03
- Tackles per match 14.41

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cambuur vs Excelsior prediction and preview

Preview Cambuur vs Excelsior with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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