Prediction Analysis: Cancún vs Leones Negros UDG
Cancún vs Leones Negros UDG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Liga de Expansión MX
2026-08-02
01:00
Cancún
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Cancún
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Leones Negros UDG
Away
Prediction Summary
1
61%
X
22%
2
17%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Cancún (Home)
Goals scored / match1.88
Goals conceded / match0.71
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate53%
Leones Negros UDG (Away)
Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Cancún
DLWDW
Leones Negros UDG
WLLWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
69%
41%
+1.5
25%
29%
+2.5
13%
18%
+3.5
6%
12%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.
Cancún averages 1.88 goals scored at home, while Leones Negros UDG averages 1.13 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
61%
Draw
22%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Cancún(A)
2 - 1
Leones Negros UDG
Home
Nov 2025
Cancún
0 - 1
Leones Negros UDG
Away
Feb 2025
Cancún(A)
0 - 1
Leones Negros UDG
Away
Sep 2024
Cancún
0 - 1
Leones Negros UDG
Away
Feb 2024
Cancún(A)
0 - 2
Leones Negros UDG
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Cancún won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Cancún — unbeaten run (home)5
Cancún — scoring streak (home)10
Leones Negros UDG — winless run (away)0
Leones Negros UDG — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Cancún Win (1)61%
Draw (X)22%
Leones Negros UDG Win (2)17%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
69%
41%
+1.5
25%
29%
+2.5
13%
18%
+3.5
6%
12%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
31%
59%
-1.5
75%
71%
-2.5
87%
82%
-3.5
94%
88%
-4.5
100%
Cancún vs Leones Negros UDG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Cancún — scored (home)1.88
Cancún — conceded (home)0.71
Leones Negros UDG — scored (away)1.13
Leones Negros UDG — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.86
Both Teams To Score
Yes51%
No49%
Rate per Team
Cancún — BTTS matches (home)53%
Leones Negros UDG — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)58%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Cancún (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Leones Negros UDG (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Cancún (home)
For—
Leones Negros UDG (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Cancún — total shots (home)—
Leones Negros UDG — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Cancún — on target (home)—
Leones Negros UDG — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Cancún
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Leones Negros UDG
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Cancún vs Leones Negros UDG
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Cancún vs Leones Negros UDG prediction analysis
Review Cancún vs Leones Negros UDG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga de Expansión MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga de Expansión MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights