Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cardiff vs Wrexham

Cardiff vs Wrexham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-08-17 19:00
Cardiff
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Wrexham
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
28%
2
36%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cardiff (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Wrexham (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wrexham
DLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 78%
0% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cardiff averages 0 goals scored at home, while Wrexham averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
28%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2025 Cardiff(A) 2 - 1 Wrexham Home

In the last 1 meetings, Cardiff won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Wrexham — winless run (away)1
Wrexham — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cardiff Win (1)36%
Draw (X)28%
Wrexham Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 78%
0% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 22%
100% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 91%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Cardiff vs Wrexham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cardiff — scored (home)0
Cardiff — conceded (home)0
Wrexham — scored (away)1.22
Wrexham — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.39

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Cardiff — BTTS matches (home)0%
Wrexham — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)28.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cardiff (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Wrexham (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Wrexham
9 8 14 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.548%
Under 0.552%
Over 1.546%
Under 1.554%
Over 2.537%
Under 2.563%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Cardiff (home)

For—

Wrexham (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.554%
Under 22.546%
Over 25.539%
Under 25.561%
Expected total shots23.98

Cardiff

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots14.00
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.53

Wrexham

Shots Over 9.551%
Shots Over 11.533%
Shots Over 13.519%
Expected shots9.98
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.39

Shots per Game

Cardiff — total shots (home)—
Wrexham — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Cardiff — on target (home)—
Wrexham — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cardiff

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Wrexham

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.8

Player Shots Cardiff

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Wrexham

K. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Windass
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Rathbone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
R. Hardie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cardiff xG (home)-
Wrexham xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

-% Possession 48.2%

Team Comparison Cardiff vs Wrexham

0% Pass accuracy 77.48%
- Passes per match 412.91
- Goals prevented -0.12
- Fouls committed 9.93
- Goalkeeper saves 3.04
- Offsides 2.14
- Tackles per match 15.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cardiff vs Wrexham prediction analysis

Review Cardiff vs Wrexham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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