What markets are included in the Casa Pia vs Estoril prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Casa Pia vs Estoril prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Casa Pia vs Estoril

Casa Pia vs Estoril prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-29 19:30

Casa Pia

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Estoril

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

25%

29%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Casa Pia (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate65%

Estoril (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.76

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Casa Pia

LWDLD

Estoril

WDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 65%

29% +1.5 53%

18% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

65% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Casa Pia averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Estoril averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

25%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Casa Pia(A) 0 - 0 Estoril Draw

Oct 2025 Casa Pia 2 - 2 Estoril Draw

Apr 2025 Casa Pia 1 - 3 Estoril Away

Dec 2024 Casa Pia(A) 2 - 0 Estoril Home

Apr 2024 Casa Pia 0 - 0 Estoril Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Casa Pia won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Casa Pia — unbeaten run (home)1

Casa Pia — scoring streak (home)2

Estoril — winless run (away)1

Estoril — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Casa Pia Win (1)46%

Draw (X)25%

Estoril Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 65%

29% +1.5 53%

18% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 35%

71% -1.5 47%

82% -2.5 76%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Casa Pia vs Estoril — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Casa Pia — scored (home)1.29

Casa Pia — conceded (home)1.12

Estoril — scored (away)1.47

Estoril — conceded (away)1.76

Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Casa Pia — BTTS matches (home)65%

Estoril — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Casa Pia (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against4.5

Estoril (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Casa Pia

7 8 5 9 17

Estoril

3 8 6 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Casa Pia (home)

For2.8

Estoril (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Casa Pia — total shots (home)10.6

Estoril — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Casa Pia — on target (home)3.2

Estoril — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Casa Pia

Inside the box5.59

Outside the box3.76

Estoril

Inside the box5.38

Outside the box4.53

Player Shots Casa Pia

Max Svensson

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target19%

Henrique Pereira

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

Cassiano

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target12%

Leonardo Lelo

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Estoril

André Lacximicant

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target11%

Xeka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

Y. Begraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target12%

Fabrício Garcia

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Boma

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Casa Pia xG (home)0.9

Estoril xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

46.65% Possession 49.06%

Team Comparison Casa Pia vs Estoril

76.68% Pass accuracy 79.91%

363.74 Passes per match 404.68

0.09 Goals prevented -0.05

14.82 Fouls committed 15.88

3.64 Goalkeeper saves 2.79

1.32 Offsides 1.24

14.71 Tackles per match 15.62

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Casa Pia vs Estoril prediction analysis

Review Casa Pia vs Estoril with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights