What markets are included in the Casa Pia vs Estrela prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Casa Pia vs Estrela prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Casa Pia vs Estrela

Casa Pia vs Estrela prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-11-01 18:00

Casa Pia

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

26%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Estrela

Away

Prediction Summary

27%

33%

40%

Under 2.5

74%

BTTS No

67%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Casa Pia (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.44

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate56%

Estrela (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.88

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Casa Pia

WDDWL

Estrela

DDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

61% +0.5 53%

33% +1.5 24%

17% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 6%

56% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.

Casa Pia averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Estrela averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

27%

Draw

33%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

26%

BTTS Yes

33%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Casa Pia(A) 0 - 4 Estrela Away

Nov 2025 Casa Pia 3 - 5 Estrela Away

Feb 2025 Casa Pia 1 - 0 Estrela Home

Aug 2024 Casa Pia(A) 1 - 0 Estrela Home

Mar 2024 Casa Pia(A) 1 - 3 Estrela Away

In the last 5 meetings, Casa Pia won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Casa Pia — unbeaten run (home)2

Casa Pia — scoring streak (home)2

Estrela — winless run (away)9

Estrela — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Casa Pia Win (1)27%

Draw (X)33%

Estrela Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

61% +0.5 53%

33% +1.5 24%

17% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

39% -0.5 47%

67% -1.5 76%

83% -2.5 88%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 94%

Casa Pia vs Estrela — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Casa Pia — scored (home)1.11

Casa Pia — conceded (home)1.44

Estrela — scored (away)1

Estrela — conceded (away)1.88

Model expected combined goals1.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes33%

No67%

Rate per Team

Casa Pia — BTTS matches (home)56%

Estrela — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.586%

Under 5.514%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.554%

Under 8.546%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Casa Pia (home)

Corners for3.7

Corners against5.8

Estrela (away)

Corners for3.1

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Casa Pia

9 10 9 8 15

Estrela

7 6 5 13 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Casa Pia (home)

For3.0

Estrela (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Casa Pia — total shots (home)8.6

Estrela — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Casa Pia — on target (home)3.1

Estrela — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Casa Pia

Inside the box5.53

Outside the box3.39

Estrela

Inside the box5.97

Outside the box4.88

Player Shots Casa Pia

Gaizka Larrazabal

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target14%

Max Svensson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Livolant

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target9%

Cassiano

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target12%

D. Livramento

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Estrela

Kikas

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target24%

Jovane Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target19%

S. Lopes Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target7%

Rodrigo Pinho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Marcus

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Casa Pia xG (home)0.93

Estrela xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

41.17% Possession 46.88%

Team Comparison Casa Pia vs Estrela

71.94% Pass accuracy 79.41%

299.28 Passes per match 354.35

-0.13 Goals prevented 0.08

16.06 Fouls committed 14.44

2.78 Goalkeeper saves 2.91

1.51 Offsides 1.82

15.19 Tackles per match 15.65

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Casa Pia vs Estrela prediction analysis

Review Casa Pia vs Estrela with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights