What markets are included in the Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente

Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-13 15:30

Casa Pia

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

GIL Vicente

Away

Prediction Summary

14%

22%

64%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Casa Pia (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.44

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate56%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Casa Pia

WDDWL

GIL Vicente

LLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

61% +0.5 65%

33% +1.5 35%

17% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

56% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

Casa Pia averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

14%

Draw

22%

Away Win

64%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Casa Pia(A) 1 - 2 GIL Vicente Away

Dec 2025 Casa Pia 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw

Feb 2025 Casa Pia 1 - 0 GIL Vicente Home

Sep 2024 Casa Pia(A) 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw

Mar 2024 Casa Pia 0 - 0 GIL Vicente Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Casa Pia won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Casa Pia — unbeaten run (home)2

Casa Pia — scoring streak (home)2

GIL Vicente — winless run (away)6

GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Casa Pia Win (1)14%

Draw (X)22%

GIL Vicente Win (2)64%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

61% +0.5 65%

33% +1.5 35%

17% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

39% -0.5 35%

67% -1.5 65%

83% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Casa Pia — scored (home)1.11

Casa Pia — conceded (home)1.44

GIL Vicente — scored (away)1.12

GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.24

Model expected combined goals2.52

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Casa Pia — BTTS matches (home)56%

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.583%

Under 5.517%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.575%

Under 7.525%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.549%

Under 9.551%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Casa Pia (home)

Corners for3.7

Corners against5.8

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for5.7

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Casa Pia

9 10 9 8 15

GIL Vicente

13 7 16 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Casa Pia (home)

For3.0

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Casa Pia — total shots (home)8.6

GIL Vicente — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Casa Pia — on target (home)3.1

GIL Vicente — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Casa Pia

Inside the box5.53

Outside the box3.39

GIL Vicente

Inside the box7.88

Outside the box5.91

Player Shots Casa Pia

Gaizka Larrazabal

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target14%

Max Svensson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Livolant

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target9%

Cassiano

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target12%

D. Livramento

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Murilo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target22%

Pablo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target77%

+1.5 On Target15%

Gustavo Varela

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Luís Esteves

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target9%

Santi García

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Casa Pia xG (home)0.93

GIL Vicente xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

41.17% Possession 49.79%

Team Comparison Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente

71.94% Pass accuracy 80.24%

299.28 Passes per match 374.15

-0.13 Goals prevented -0.13

16.06 Fouls committed 13.53

2.78 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.51 Offsides 1.44

15.19 Tackles per match 14.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review Casa Pia vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights