What markets are included in the Casa Pia vs Guimaraes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Casa Pia vs Guimaraes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Casa Pia vs Guimaraes

Casa Pia vs Guimaraes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-28 15:30

Casa Pia

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Guimaraes

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

27%

42%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Casa Pia (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.44

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate56%

Guimaraes (Away)

Goals scored / match0.76

Goals conceded / match1.88

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Casa Pia

WDDWL

Guimaraes

LLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

61% +0.5 53%

33% +1.5 24%

17% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

56% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Casa Pia averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Guimaraes averages 0.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

27%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Casa Pia(A) 1 - 0 Guimaraes Home

Dec 2025 Casa Pia 0 - 0 Guimaraes Draw

Mar 2025 Casa Pia(A) 0 - 1 Guimaraes Away

Sep 2024 Casa Pia 1 - 1 Guimaraes Draw

Feb 2024 Casa Pia(A) 2 - 0 Guimaraes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Casa Pia won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Casa Pia — unbeaten run (home)2

Casa Pia — scoring streak (home)2

Guimaraes — winless run (away)2

Guimaraes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Casa Pia Win (1)32%

Draw (X)27%

Guimaraes Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

61% +0.5 53%

33% +1.5 24%

17% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

39% -0.5 47%

67% -1.5 76%

83% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Casa Pia vs Guimaraes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Casa Pia — scored (home)1.11

Casa Pia — conceded (home)1.44

Guimaraes — scored (away)0.76

Guimaraes — conceded (away)1.88

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Casa Pia — BTTS matches (home)56%

Guimaraes — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.583%

Under 5.517%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.554%

Under 8.546%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Casa Pia (home)

Corners for3.7

Corners against5.8

Guimaraes (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Casa Pia

9 10 9 8 15

Guimaraes

13 8 8 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.586%

Under 2.514%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Casa Pia (home)

For3.0

Guimaraes (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Casa Pia — total shots (home)8.6

Guimaraes — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

Casa Pia — on target (home)3.1

Guimaraes — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Casa Pia

Inside the box5.53

Outside the box3.39

Guimaraes

Inside the box7.38

Outside the box5.94

Player Shots Casa Pia

Gaizka Larrazabal

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target14%

Max Svensson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Livolant

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target9%

Cassiano

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target12%

D. Livramento

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Guimaraes

Gustavo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

Samu

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target10%

Tiago Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Nélson Oliveira

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Ndoye

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Casa Pia xG (home)0.93

Guimaraes xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

41.17% Possession 51.38%

Team Comparison Casa Pia vs Guimaraes

71.94% Pass accuracy 81.71%

299.28 Passes per match 393.65

-0.13 Goals prevented -0.11

16.06 Fouls committed 14.53

2.78 Goalkeeper saves 3.12

1.51 Offsides 1.94

15.19 Tackles per match 15.35

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Casa Pia vs Guimaraes prediction analysis

Review Casa Pia vs Guimaraes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights