What markets are included in the Casa Pia vs Rio Ave prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Casa Pia vs Rio Ave prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-29 15:30

Casa Pia

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Rio Ave

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

26%

20%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Casa Pia (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate65%

Rio Ave (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Casa Pia

LWDLD

Rio Ave

DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 53%

29% +1.5 24%

18% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

65% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Casa Pia averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Casa Pia 1 - 1 Rio Ave Draw

Jan 2026 Casa Pia(A) 1 - 3 Rio Ave Away

Mar 2025 Casa Pia 2 - 1 Rio Ave Home

Jan 2025 Casa Pia 1 - 3 Rio Ave Away

Nov 2024 Casa Pia(A) 2 - 2 Rio Ave Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Casa Pia won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Casa Pia — unbeaten run (home)1

Casa Pia — scoring streak (home)2

Rio Ave — winless run (away)2

Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Casa Pia Win (1)55%

Draw (X)26%

Rio Ave Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 53%

29% +1.5 24%

18% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 47%

71% -1.5 76%

82% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Casa Pia — scored (home)1.29

Casa Pia — conceded (home)1.12

Rio Ave — scored (away)0.82

Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.82

Model expected combined goals2.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Casa Pia — BTTS matches (home)65%

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Casa Pia (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against4.5

Rio Ave (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Casa Pia

7 8 5 9 17

Rio Ave

10 10 8 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Casa Pia (home)

For2.8

Rio Ave (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Casa Pia — total shots (home)10.6

Rio Ave — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Casa Pia — on target (home)3.2

Rio Ave — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Casa Pia

Inside the box5.59

Outside the box3.76

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Casa Pia

Max Svensson

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target19%

Henrique Pereira

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

Cassiano

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target12%

Leonardo Lelo

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target35%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Tıknaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

João Novais

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Casa Pia xG (home)0.9

Rio Ave xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

46.65% Possession 47.71%

Team Comparison Casa Pia vs Rio Ave

76.68% Pass accuracy 79.59%

363.74 Passes per match 389.88

0.09 Goals prevented -0.09

14.82 Fouls committed 13.5

3.64 Goalkeeper saves 3.53

1.32 Offsides 2.79

14.71 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave prediction analysis

Review Casa Pia vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights