Prediction Analysis: Castellón vs Sabadell
Castellón vs Sabadell prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Segunda División
2026-08-23
15:00
Castellón
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Sabadell
Away
Prediction Summary
1
50%
X
25%
2
25%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Castellón (Home)
Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate68%
Sabadell (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Castellón
LDWWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
91%
+0.5
0%
59%
+1.5
0%
32%
+2.5
0%
9%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
68%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.
Castellón averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Sabadell averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
50%
Draw
25%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 2
Mar 2021
Castellón
2 - 1
Sabadell
Home
Dec 2020
Castellón(A)
1 - 1
Sabadell
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Castellón won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Castellón — unbeaten run (home)3
Castellón — scoring streak (home)17
1X2 Probability model
Castellón Win (1)50%
Draw (X)25%
Sabadell Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
91%
+0.5
0%
59%
+1.5
0%
32%
+2.5
0%
9%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
9%
-0.5
100%
41%
-1.5
100%
68%
-2.5
100%
91%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Castellón vs Sabadell — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Castellón — scored (home)1.95
Castellón — conceded (home)1.18
Sabadell — scored (away)0
Sabadell — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.69
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
Castellón — BTTS matches (home)68%
Sabadell — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)34%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Castellón (home)
Corners for6.3
Corners against3.4
Sabadell (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Castellón
7
11
14
8
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.548%
Under 1.552%
Over 2.548%
Under 2.552%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Castellón (home)
For3.0
Sabadell (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.16
Castellón
Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.59
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.94
Sabadell
Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.57
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.83
Shots per Game
Castellón — total shots (home)16.1
Sabadell — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Castellón — on target (home)5.3
Sabadell — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Castellón
Inside the box10.41
Outside the box4.68
Sabadell
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Castellón
Álex Calatrava
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target37%
K. Mamah
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target8%
Barri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
Varo García
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Jakobsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Sabadell
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Castellón xG (home)1.92
Sabadell xG (away)-
Average Possession
55.05%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Castellón vs Sabadell
81.06%
Pass accuracy
0%
424.3
Passes per match
-
0
Goals prevented
-
14.39
Fouls committed
-
2.58
Goalkeeper saves
-
2.28
Offsides
-
18.05
Tackles per match
-
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Castellón vs Sabadell prediction analysis
Review Castellón vs Sabadell with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights