Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa

Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Canadian Premier League 2026-08-22 20:30
Cavalry FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Atlético Ottawa
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
24%
2
34%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cavalry FC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate44%
BTTS rate56%

Atlético Ottawa (Away)

Goals scored / match1.81
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cavalry FC
LDWLW
Atlético Ottawa
DLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 81%
50% +1.5 69%
44% +2.5 25%
31% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cavalry FC averages 2.13 goals scored at home, while Atlético Ottawa averages 1.81 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
24%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Cavalry FC(A) 3 - 0 Atlético Ottawa Home
Nov 2025 Cavalry FC(A) 1 - 2 Atlético Ottawa Away
Sep 2025 Cavalry FC(A) 0 - 3 Atlético Ottawa Away
Aug 2025 Cavalry FC(A) 2 - 2 Atlético Ottawa Draw
Jun 2025 Cavalry FC 0 - 2 Atlético Ottawa Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cavalry FC won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Cavalry FC — unbeaten run (home)8
Cavalry FC — scoring streak (home)7
Atlético Ottawa — winless run (away)0
Atlético Ottawa — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cavalry FC Win (1)42%
Draw (X)24%
Atlético Ottawa Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 81%
50% +1.5 69%
44% +2.5 25%
31% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 19%
50% -1.5 31%
56% -2.5 75%
69% -3.5 94%
94% -4.5 100%

Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cavalry FC — scored (home)2.13
Cavalry FC — conceded (home)1.06
Atlético Ottawa — scored (away)1.81
Atlético Ottawa — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Cavalry FC — BTTS matches (home)56%
Atlético Ottawa — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cavalry FC (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against8.0

Atlético Ottawa (away)

Corners for2.5
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cavalry FC
10 14 8 8
Atlético Ottawa
8 6 8 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Cavalry FC (home)

For2.0

Atlético Ottawa (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.553%
Under 22.547%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.55

Cavalry FC

Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.44
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.36

Atlético Ottawa

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.527%
Expected shots11.11
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.91

Shots per Game

Cavalry FC — total shots (home)10.0
Atlético Ottawa — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Cavalry FC — on target (home)4.0
Atlético Ottawa — on target (away)6.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cavalry FC

Inside the box11
Outside the box6

Atlético Ottawa

Inside the box9.4
Outside the box4.6

Player Shots Cavalry FC

T. Warschewski
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
A. Musse
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Elva
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Gherasimencov
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Camargo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Atlético Ottawa

S. Salter
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
B. Tabla
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
D. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
B. Levis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Sissoko
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cavalry FC xG (home)0
Atlético Ottawa xG (away)0

Average Possession

59% Possession 56%

Team Comparison Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa

81.67% Pass accuracy 85.6%
445.33 Passes per match 520
0 Goals prevented 0
12 Fouls committed 11.6
3.67 Goalkeeper saves 1.2
3.33 Offsides 0.4
12.5 Tackles per match 15.29

League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa prediction and preview

Preview Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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