Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cavalry FC vs Forge

Cavalry FC vs Forge prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Canadian Premier League 2026-08-15 21:00
Cavalry FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Forge
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
25%
2
33%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cavalry FC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate44%
BTTS rate56%

Forge (Away)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match0.93
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cavalry FC
LDWLW
Forge
WWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 93%
50% +1.5 47%
44% +2.5 7%
31% +3.5 7%
6% +4.5 7%
56% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cavalry FC averages 2.13 goals scored at home, while Forge averages 1.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
25%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Cavalry FC(A) 1 - 0 Forge Home
Oct 2025 Cavalry FC 1 - 1 Forge Draw
Aug 2025 Cavalry FC 4 - 1 Forge Home
May 2025 Cavalry FC(A) 1 - 1 Forge Draw
Apr 2025 Cavalry FC(A) 0 - 1 Forge Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cavalry FC won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Cavalry FC — unbeaten run (home)8
Cavalry FC — scoring streak (home)7
Forge — winless run (away)0
Forge — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cavalry FC Win (1)42%
Draw (X)25%
Forge Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 93%
50% +1.5 47%
44% +2.5 7%
31% +3.5 7%
6% +4.5 7%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 7%
50% -1.5 53%
56% -2.5 93%
69% -3.5 93%
94% -4.5 93%

Cavalry FC vs Forge — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cavalry FC — scored (home)2.13
Cavalry FC — conceded (home)1.06
Forge — scored (away)1.6
Forge — conceded (away)0.93
Model expected combined goals2.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Cavalry FC — BTTS matches (home)56%
Forge — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cavalry FC (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against8.0

Forge (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cavalry FC
10 14 8 8
Forge
5 7 11 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Cavalry FC (home)

For2.0

Forge (away)

For3.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.542%
Under 25.558%
Expected total shots24.48

Cavalry FC

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.543%
Expected shots13.06
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.41

Forge

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.42
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.95

Shots per Game

Cavalry FC — total shots (home)10.0
Forge — total shots (away)16.0

Shots on Target

Cavalry FC — on target (home)4.0
Forge — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cavalry FC

Inside the box11
Outside the box6

Forge

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.83

Player Shots Cavalry FC

T. Warschewski
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
A. Musse
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Elva
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Gherasimencov
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Camargo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Forge

N. Ampomah
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
N. Jensen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Borges
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Wright
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
D. Choinière
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cavalry FC xG (home)0
Forge xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

59% Possession 50.17%

Team Comparison Cavalry FC vs Forge

81.67% Pass accuracy 84.17%
445.33 Passes per match 437.5
0 Goals prevented 0
12 Fouls committed 10.17
3.67 Goalkeeper saves 3.33
3.33 Offsides 2.83
12.5 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cavalry FC vs Forge prediction analysis

Review Cavalry FC vs Forge with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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