Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cavalry FC vs York United

Cavalry FC vs York United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Canadian Premier League 2026-08-02 01:00
Cavalry FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Cavalry FC
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
York United
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
22%
2
20%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cavalry FC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate44%
BTTS rate56%

York United (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cavalry FC
LDWLW
York United
DLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 72%
50% +1.5 22%
44% +2.5 6%
31% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cavalry FC averages 2.13 goals scored at home, while York United averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
22%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Cavalry FC 4 - 1 York United Home
Sep 2025 Cavalry FC(A) 1 - 3 York United Away
Jul 2025 Cavalry FC 0 - 1 York United Away
Jun 2025 Cavalry FC 2 - 1 York United Home
May 2025 Cavalry FC(A) 2 - 1 York United Home

In the last 5 meetings, Cavalry FC won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Cavalry FC — unbeaten run (home)8
Cavalry FC — scoring streak (home)7
York United — winless run (away)10
York United — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cavalry FC Win (1)59%
Draw (X)22%
York United Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 72%
50% +1.5 22%
44% +2.5 6%
31% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 28%
50% -1.5 78%
56% -2.5 94%
69% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Cavalry FC vs York United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cavalry FC — scored (home)2.13
Cavalry FC — conceded (home)1.06
York United — scored (away)1
York United — conceded (away)1.78
Model expected combined goals2.98

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Cavalry FC — BTTS matches (home)56%
York United — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cavalry FC (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against8.0

York United (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cavalry FC
10 14 8 8
York United
7 8 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Cavalry FC (home)

For2.0

York United (away)

For4.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.539%
Under 25.561%
Expected total shots24.00

Cavalry FC

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.543%
Expected shots13.12
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.65

York United

Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.88
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.71

Shots per Game

Cavalry FC — total shots (home)10.0
York United — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Cavalry FC — on target (home)4.0
York United — on target (away)6.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cavalry FC

Inside the box11
Outside the box6

York United

Inside the box7.75
Outside the box6

Player Shots Cavalry FC

T. Warschewski
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
A. Musse
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Elva
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Gherasimencov
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Camargo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots York United

J. Altobelli
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target75%
S. Hundal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Reid
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Yeates
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Ferrin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cavalry FC xG (home)0
York United xG (away)0

Average Possession

59% Possession 50%

Team Comparison Cavalry FC vs York United

81.67% Pass accuracy 81%
445.33 Passes per match 427.25
0 Goals prevented 0
12 Fouls committed 18.5
3.67 Goalkeeper saves 4.5
3.33 Offsides 2.75
12.5 Tackles per match 19.25

League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cavalry FC vs York United prediction analysis

Review Cavalry FC vs York United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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