What markets are included in the Ceara vs Atletico-MG prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Ceara vs Atletico-MG prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Ceara vs Atletico-MG

Ceara vs Atletico-MG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-06-01 21:30

Ceara

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

32%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Atletico-MG

Away

Prediction Summary

57%

28%

16%

Under 2.5

68%

BTTS No

66%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Ceara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Atletico-MG (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ceara

LLDLL

Atletico-MG

WLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 42%

26% +1.5 16%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ceara averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Atletico-MG averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

57%

Draw

28%

Away Win

16%

Over 2.5

32%

BTTS Yes

34%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Ceara(A) 0 - 1 Atletico-MG Away

Jun 2025 Ceara 0 - 1 Atletico-MG Away

Oct 2022 Ceara(A) 0 - 0 Atletico-MG Draw

Jun 2022 Ceara 0 - 0 Atletico-MG Draw

Oct 2021 Ceara(A) 1 - 3 Atletico-MG Away

In the last 5 meetings, Ceara won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Ceara — unbeaten run (home)0

Ceara — scoring streak (home)5

Atletico-MG — winless run (away)2

Atletico-MG — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ceara Win (1)57%

Draw (X)28%

Atletico-MG Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 42%

26% +1.5 16%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 58%

74% -1.5 84%

95% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Ceara vs Atletico-MG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ceara — scored (home)1.05

Ceara — conceded (home)0.95

Atletico-MG — scored (away)0.68

Atletico-MG — conceded (away)1.37

Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%

No66%

Rate per Team

Ceara — BTTS matches (home)42%

Atletico-MG — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ceara (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.5

Atletico-MG (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ceara

8 18 13 7 14

Atletico-MG

10 6 11 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.595%

Under 2.55%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Ceara (home)

For2.1

Atletico-MG (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Ceara — total shots (home)13.2

Atletico-MG — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Ceara — on target (home)4.3

Atletico-MG — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ceara

Inside the box6.87

Outside the box4.95

Atletico-MG

Inside the box8.32

Outside the box6.76

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target38%

Éder

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Pedro Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Galeano

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Vina

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Atletico-MG

Rony

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target29%

Hulk

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Cuello

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

João Marcelo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Guilherme Arana

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceara xG (home)0.96

Atletico-MG xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

42.03% Possession 54.16%

Team Comparison Ceara vs Atletico-MG

79.03% Pass accuracy 83.87%

330.84 Passes per match 451.13

0.17 Goals prevented 0.03

13.61 Fouls committed 13.24

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 2.92

2.42 Offsides 1.83

15.84 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ceara vs Atletico-MG prediction analysis

Review Ceara vs Atletico-MG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights