What markets are included in the Ceara vs Cruzeiro prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Ceara vs Cruzeiro prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Ceara vs Cruzeiro

Ceara vs Cruzeiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-30 00:00

Ceara

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

29%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Cruzeiro

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

36%

Under 2.5

71%

BTTS No

63%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Ceara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Cruzeiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ceara

LLDLL

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 58%

26% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 29%. Model confidence is High.

Ceara averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Cruzeiro averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

32%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

29%

BTTS Yes

37%

Head-to-Head last 4

Nov 2025 Ceara 1 - 1 Cruzeiro Draw

Jul 2025 Ceara(A) 2 - 1 Cruzeiro Home

Sep 2019 Ceara 0 - 0 Cruzeiro Draw

May 2019 Ceara(A) 0 - 1 Cruzeiro Away

In the last 4 meetings, Ceara won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ceara — unbeaten run (home)0

Ceara — scoring streak (home)5

Cruzeiro — winless run (away)3

Cruzeiro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ceara Win (1)32%

Draw (X)32%

Cruzeiro Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 58%

26% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 42%

74% -1.5 68%

95% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Ceara vs Cruzeiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ceara — scored (home)1.05

Ceara — conceded (home)0.95

Cruzeiro — scored (away)1.05

Cruzeiro — conceded (away)0.89

Model expected combined goals1.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%

No63%

Rate per Team

Ceara — BTTS matches (home)42%

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.579%

Under 8.521%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ceara (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.5

Cruzeiro (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ceara

8 18 13 7 14

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.595%

Under 2.55%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Ceara (home)

For2.1

Cruzeiro (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Ceara — total shots (home)13.2

Cruzeiro — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Ceara — on target (home)4.3

Cruzeiro — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ceara

Inside the box6.87

Outside the box4.95

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target38%

Éder

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Pedro Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Galeano

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Vina

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceara xG (home)0.96

Cruzeiro xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

42.03% Possession 47.87%

Team Comparison Ceara vs Cruzeiro

79.03% Pass accuracy 81.05%

330.84 Passes per match 363.13

0.17 Goals prevented 0.12

13.61 Fouls committed 13.66

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

2.42 Offsides 1.5

15.84 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ceara vs Cruzeiro prediction analysis

Review Ceara vs Cruzeiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights