Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ceara vs Cuiaba

Ceara vs Cuiaba prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-15 21:30
Ceara
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
18%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Cuiaba
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
37%
2
30%
Under 2.5
82%
BTTS No
73%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Ceara (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Cuiaba (Away)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ceara
WLDDL
Cuiaba
DLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 50%
0% +1.5 25%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 18%. Model confidence is High.

Ceara averages 0 goals scored at home, while Cuiaba averages 0.75 goals scored away.

Model Strength
82%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
37%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
18%
BTTS Yes
27%

Head-to-Head last 4

Oct 2022 Ceara 1 - 1 Cuiaba Draw
Jun 2022 Ceara(A) 0 - 0 Cuiaba Draw
Nov 2021 Ceara 1 - 0 Cuiaba Home
Jul 2021 Ceara(A) 2 - 2 Cuiaba Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Ceara won 1, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Ceara — unbeaten run (home)0
Ceara — scoring streak (home)0
Cuiaba — winless run (away)4
Cuiaba — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Ceara Win (1)33%
Draw (X)37%
Cuiaba Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 50%
0% +1.5 25%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 50%
100% -1.5 75%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ceara vs Cuiaba — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ceara — scored (home)0
Ceara — conceded (home)0.67
Cuiaba — scored (away)0.75
Cuiaba — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals1.46

Both Teams To Score

Yes27%
No73%

Rate per Team

Ceara — BTTS matches (home)0%
Cuiaba — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)25%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ceara (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against3.7

Cuiaba (away)

Corners for9.0
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ceara
16 9 8 7 12
Cuiaba
9 13 8 9 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Ceara (home)

For2.0

Cuiaba (away)

For1.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.36

Ceara

Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots13.96
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.34

Cuiaba

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.40
On Target Over 3.546%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.52

Shots per Game

Ceara — total shots (home)11.7
Cuiaba — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

Ceara — on target (home)3.3
Cuiaba — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ceara

Inside the box6
Outside the box6.43

Cuiaba

Inside the box8.14
Outside the box6.43

Player Shots Ceara

Lucca
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
Vina
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Enzo Valentim Lodovico
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Giulio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Melk
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Cuiaba

Vinicius Peixoto
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Rodrigo Farofa
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
Marlon
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Calebe
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Railan
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceara xG (home)0.71
Cuiaba xG (away)0.93

Average Possession

51.5% Possession 50.43%

Team Comparison Ceara vs Cuiaba

75.29% Pass accuracy 80.34%
338.57 Passes per match 361
-0.43 Goals prevented -0.3
14 Fouls committed 12.57
2.25 Goalkeeper saves 1.29
0.88 Offsides 1.33
16.13 Tackles per match 11.86

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ceara vs Cuiaba prediction and preview

Preview Ceara vs Cuiaba with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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