Prediction Analysis: Ceara vs Cuiaba
Ceara vs Cuiaba prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Ceara
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
18%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0

Cuiaba
Away
Prediction Summary
1
33%
X
37%
2
30%
Under 2.5
82%
BTTS No
73%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Ceara (Home)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Cuiaba (Away)
Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Ceara
WLDDL
Cuiaba
DLLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
0%
+0.5
50%
0%
+1.5
25%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 18%. Model confidence is High.
Ceara averages 0 goals scored at home, while Cuiaba averages 0.75 goals scored away.
Model Strength
82%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
33%
Draw
37%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
18%
BTTS Yes
27%
Head-to-Head last 4
Oct 2022
Ceara
1 - 1
Cuiaba
Draw
Jun 2022
Ceara(A)
0 - 0
Cuiaba
Draw
Nov 2021
Ceara
1 - 0
Cuiaba
Home
Jul 2021
Ceara(A)
2 - 2
Cuiaba
Draw
In the last 4 meetings, Ceara won 1, drew 3 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Ceara — unbeaten run (home)0
Ceara — scoring streak (home)0
Cuiaba — winless run (away)4
Cuiaba — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4
1X2 Probability model
Ceara Win (1)33%
Draw (X)37%
Cuiaba Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
0%
+0.5
50%
0%
+1.5
25%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
100%
-0.5
50%
100%
-1.5
75%
100%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Ceara vs Cuiaba — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Ceara — scored (home)0
Ceara — conceded (home)0.67
Cuiaba — scored (away)0.75
Cuiaba — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals1.46
Both Teams To Score
Yes27%
No73%
Rate per Team
Ceara — BTTS matches (home)0%
Cuiaba — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)25%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Ceara (home)
Corners for5.7
Corners against3.7
Cuiaba (away)
Corners for9.0
Corners against4.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Ceara
16
9
8
7
12
Cuiaba
9
13
8
9
17
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Ceara (home)
For2.0
Cuiaba (away)
For1.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.36
Ceara
Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots13.96
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.34
Cuiaba
Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.40
On Target Over 3.546%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.52
Shots per Game
Ceara — total shots (home)11.7
Cuiaba — total shots (away)12.8
Shots on Target
Ceara — on target (home)3.3
Cuiaba — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Ceara
Inside the box6
Outside the box6.43
Cuiaba
Inside the box8.14
Outside the box6.43
Player Shots Ceara
Lucca
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
Vina
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Enzo Valentim Lodovico
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Giulio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Melk
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Cuiaba
Vinicius Peixoto
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Rodrigo Farofa
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
Marlon
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Calebe
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Railan
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceara xG (home)0.71
Cuiaba xG (away)0.93
Average Possession
51.5%
Possession
50.43%
Team Comparison Ceara vs Cuiaba
75.29%
Pass accuracy
80.34%
338.57
Passes per match
361
-0.43
Goals prevented
-0.3
14
Fouls committed
12.57
2.25
Goalkeeper saves
1.29
0.88
Offsides
1.33
16.13
Tackles per match
11.86
League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Ceara vs Cuiaba prediction and preview
Preview Ceara vs Cuiaba with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights