What markets are included in the Ceara vs Fortaleza EC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Ceara vs Fortaleza EC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Ceara vs Fortaleza EC

Ceara vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-06 23:00

Ceara

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

36%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fortaleza EC

Away

Prediction Summary

54%

27%

19%

Under 2.5

64%

BTTS No

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Ceara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.84

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ceara

LLDLL

Fortaleza EC

LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

26% +1.5 21%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ceara averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

36%

BTTS Yes

39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Ceara 1 - 1 Fortaleza EC Draw

Jul 2025 Ceara(A) 1 - 0 Fortaleza EC Home

Aug 2022 Ceara 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC Away

Jul 2022 Ceara 1 - 0 Fortaleza EC Home

Jun 2022 Ceara(A) 0 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away

In the last 5 meetings, Ceara won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Ceara — unbeaten run (home)0

Ceara — scoring streak (home)5

Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ceara Win (1)54%

Draw (X)27%

Fortaleza EC Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

26% +1.5 21%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

74% -1.5 79%

95% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Ceara vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ceara — scored (home)1.05

Ceara — conceded (home)0.95

Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05

Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84

Model expected combined goals2.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%

No61%

Rate per Team

Ceara — BTTS matches (home)42%

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ceara (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.5

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ceara

8 18 13 7 14

Fortaleza EC

12 11 11 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Ceara (home)

For2.1

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Ceara — total shots (home)13.2

Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Ceara — on target (home)4.3

Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ceara

Inside the box6.87

Outside the box4.95

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target38%

Éder

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Pedro Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Galeano

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Vina

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target19%

Breno Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Deyverson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceara xG (home)0.96

Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

42.03% Possession 44.18%

Team Comparison Ceara vs Fortaleza EC

79.03% Pass accuracy 79.24%

330.84 Passes per match 354.39

0.17 Goals prevented 0.01

13.61 Fouls committed 14.18

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 3.63

2.42 Offsides 2.06

15.84 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ceara vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Review Ceara vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights