Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ceara vs Internacional

Ceara vs Internacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-21 00:30
Ceara
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Internacional
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
27%
2
22%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Ceara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Internacional (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ceara
LLDLL
Internacional
WLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 63%
26% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ceara averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Internacional averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
27%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Ceara 1 - 2 Internacional Away
Jul 2025 Ceara(A) 0 - 1 Internacional Away
Oct 2022 Ceara(A) 1 - 2 Internacional Away
Jul 2022 Ceara 1 - 1 Internacional Draw
Oct 2021 Ceara 0 - 0 Internacional Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Ceara won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Ceara — unbeaten run (home)0
Ceara — scoring streak (home)5
Internacional — winless run (away)2
Internacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ceara Win (1)51%
Draw (X)27%
Internacional Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 63%
26% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 37%
74% -1.5 79%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ceara vs Internacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ceara — scored (home)1.05
Ceara — conceded (home)0.95
Internacional — scored (away)0.89
Internacional — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Ceara — BTTS matches (home)42%
Internacional — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ceara (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.5

Internacional (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ceara
8 18 13 7 14
Internacional
8 5 7 13 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Ceara (home)

For2.1

Internacional (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Ceara — total shots (home)13.2
Internacional — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Ceara — on target (home)4.3
Internacional — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ceara

Inside the box6.87
Outside the box4.95

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target38%
Éder
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Pedro Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Galeano
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Vina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceara xG (home)0.96
Internacional xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

42.03% Possession 51.08%

Team Comparison Ceara vs Internacional

79.03% Pass accuracy 82.63%
330.84 Passes per match 429.03
0.17 Goals prevented -0.13
13.61 Fouls committed 14.89
2.97 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
2.42 Offsides 1.78
15.84 Tackles per match 18.39

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ceara vs Internacional prediction analysis

Review Ceara vs Internacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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