Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ceara vs Juventude

Ceara vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-30 19:00
Ceara
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
73%
X
18%
2
9%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Ceara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ceara
LLDLL
Juventude
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 53%
26% +1.5 16%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is High.

Ceara averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
73%
Draw
18%
Away Win
9%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jun 2026 Ceara(A) 0 - 2 Juventude Away
Aug 2025 Ceara 0 - 1 Juventude Away
Apr 2025 Ceara(A) 1 - 2 Juventude Away
Nov 2023 Ceara 1 - 3 Juventude Away
Jul 2023 Ceara(A) 0 - 1 Juventude Away

In the last 5 meetings, Ceara won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Ceara — unbeaten run (home)0
Ceara — scoring streak (home)5
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ceara Win (1)73%
Draw (X)18%
Juventude Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 53%
26% +1.5 16%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 47%
74% -1.5 84%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ceara vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ceara — scored (home)1.05
Ceara — conceded (home)0.95
Juventude — scored (away)0.74
Juventude — conceded (away)2.26
Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Ceara — BTTS matches (home)42%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ceara (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.5

Juventude (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ceara
8 18 13 7 14
Juventude
12 11 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Ceara (home)

For2.1

Juventude (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Ceara — total shots (home)13.2
Juventude — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Ceara — on target (home)4.3
Juventude — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ceara

Inside the box6.87
Outside the box4.95

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target38%
Éder
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Pedro Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Galeano
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Vina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceara xG (home)0.96
Juventude xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

42.03% Possession 42.82%

Team Comparison Ceara vs Juventude

79.03% Pass accuracy 80.89%
330.84 Passes per match 339
0.17 Goals prevented -0.18
13.61 Fouls committed 15.89
2.97 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
2.42 Offsides 1.86
15.84 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ceara vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Ceara vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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