Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ceara vs RB Bragantino

Ceara vs RB Bragantino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-16 19:00
Ceara
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
35%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
RB Bragantino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
30%
2
32%
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Ceara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

RB Bragantino (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ceara
LLDLL
RB Bragantino
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 79%
26% +1.5 16%
5% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ceara averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while RB Bragantino averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
30%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Ceara 1 - 0 RB Bragantino Home
Mar 2025 Ceara(A) 2 - 2 RB Bragantino Draw
Aug 2022 Ceara(A) 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Draw
Apr 2022 Ceara 0 - 1 RB Bragantino Away
Oct 2021 Ceara 2 - 2 RB Bragantino Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Ceara won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ceara — unbeaten run (home)0
Ceara — scoring streak (home)5
RB Bragantino — winless run (away)2
RB Bragantino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ceara Win (1)38%
Draw (X)30%
RB Bragantino Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 79%
26% +1.5 16%
5% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 21%
74% -1.5 84%
95% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ceara vs RB Bragantino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ceara — scored (home)1.05
Ceara — conceded (home)0.95
RB Bragantino — scored (away)0.95
RB Bragantino — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.11

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Ceara — BTTS matches (home)42%
RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ceara (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.5

RB Bragantino (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ceara
8 18 13 7 14
RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Ceara (home)

For2.1

RB Bragantino (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Ceara — total shots (home)13.2
RB Bragantino — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Ceara — on target (home)4.3
RB Bragantino — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ceara

Inside the box6.87
Outside the box4.95

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target38%
Éder
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Pedro Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Galeano
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Vina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceara xG (home)0.96
RB Bragantino xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

42.03% Possession 47.82%

Team Comparison Ceara vs RB Bragantino

79.03% Pass accuracy 81.68%
330.84 Passes per match 390.63
0.17 Goals prevented 0.01
13.61 Fouls committed 14.11
2.97 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
2.42 Offsides 1.46
15.84 Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ceara vs RB Bragantino prediction analysis

Review Ceara vs RB Bragantino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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