What markets are included in the Ceara vs Sport Recife prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Ceara vs Sport Recife prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Ceara vs Sport Recife

Ceara vs Sport Recife prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-17 19:00

Ceara

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sport Recife

Away

Prediction Summary

62%

24%

14%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

63%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Ceara (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Sport Recife (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58

Goals conceded / match1.89

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ceara

LLDLL

Sport Recife

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 47%

26% +1.5 11%

5% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ceara averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Sport Recife averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

62%

Draw

24%

Away Win

14%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

37%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Ceara(A) 1 - 1 Sport Recife Draw

May 2025 Ceara 2 - 0 Sport Recife Home

Oct 2024 Ceara(A) 1 - 2 Sport Recife Away

Jun 2024 Ceara 0 - 0 Sport Recife Draw

Oct 2023 Ceara 2 - 1 Sport Recife Home

In the last 5 meetings, Ceara won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ceara — unbeaten run (home)0

Ceara — scoring streak (home)5

Sport Recife — winless run (away)10

Sport Recife — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ceara Win (1)62%

Draw (X)24%

Sport Recife Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 47%

26% +1.5 11%

5% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 53%

74% -1.5 89%

95% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Ceara vs Sport Recife — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ceara — scored (home)1.05

Ceara — conceded (home)0.95

Sport Recife — scored (away)0.58

Sport Recife — conceded (away)1.89

Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%

No63%

Rate per Team

Ceara — BTTS matches (home)42%

Sport Recife — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.579%

Under 8.521%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ceara (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.5

Sport Recife (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ceara

8 18 13 7 14

Sport Recife

12 10 12 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Ceara (home)

For2.1

Sport Recife (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Ceara — total shots (home)13.2

Sport Recife — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Ceara — on target (home)4.3

Sport Recife — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ceara

Inside the box6.87

Outside the box4.95

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target38%

Éder

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Pedro Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Galeano

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Vina

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Léo Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target25%

Chrystian Barletta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

C. Ortíz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

I. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceara xG (home)0.96

Sport Recife xG (away)0.97

Average Possession

42.03% Possession 46.24%

Team Comparison Ceara vs Sport Recife

79.03% Pass accuracy 81.37%

330.84 Passes per match 375.95

0.17 Goals prevented 0.15

13.61 Fouls committed 13.63

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 4.13

2.42 Offsides 1.84

15.84 Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ceara vs Sport Recife prediction analysis

Review Ceara vs Sport Recife with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights