What markets are included in the Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid

Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-10-05 19:00

Celta Vigo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Atletico Madrid

Away

Prediction Summary

33%

29%

37%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Celta Vigo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate63%

Atletico Madrid (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celta Vigo

WDLWW

Atletico Madrid

LWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 84%

42% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Celta Vigo averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while Atletico Madrid averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

33%

Draw

29%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Celta Vigo(A) 1 - 0 Atletico Madrid Home

Oct 2025 Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid Draw

Feb 2025 Celta Vigo(A) 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid Draw

Sep 2024 Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

May 2024 Celta Vigo(A) 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

In the last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Celta Vigo — unbeaten run (home)1

Celta Vigo — scoring streak (home)3

Atletico Madrid — winless run (away)1

Atletico Madrid — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celta Vigo Win (1)33%

Draw (X)29%

Atletico Madrid Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 84%

42% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 16%

58% -1.5 68%

79% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celta Vigo — scored (home)1.53

Celta Vigo — conceded (home)1.47

Atletico Madrid — scored (away)1.21

Atletico Madrid — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (home)63%

Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celta Vigo (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Atletico Madrid (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celta Vigo

6 10 8 5 7

Atletico Madrid

8 10 12 17 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Celta Vigo (home)

For1.6

Atletico Madrid (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Celta Vigo — total shots (home)11.5

Atletico Madrid — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Celta Vigo — on target (home)4.4

Atletico Madrid — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celta Vigo

Inside the box6.55

Outside the box3.5

Atletico Madrid

Inside the box9.13

Outside the box3.97

Player Shots Celta Vigo

Ferran Jutglà

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target27%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target20%

Bryan Zaragoza

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target16%

Pablo Durán

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

W. Swedberg

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Atletico Madrid

A. Sørloth

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target31%

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target24%

N. González

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

A. Griezmann

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Simeone

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo xG (home)1.32

Atletico Madrid xG (away)1.55

Average Possession

50.42% Possession 53.32%

Team Comparison Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid

85.47% Pass accuracy 84.95%

497.66 Passes per match 505.37

0.06 Goals prevented 0.13

11.68 Fouls committed 11.18

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

2.17 Offsides 2.19

14.26 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid prediction analysis

Review Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights