What markets are included in the Celta Vigo vs Barcelona prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Celta Vigo vs Barcelona prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Barcelona

Celta Vigo vs Barcelona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-11-23 20:00

Celta Vigo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Barcelona

Away

Prediction Summary

28%

23%

50%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

63%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Celta Vigo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate63%

Barcelona (Away)

Goals scored / match2.63

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celta Vigo

WLWWL

Barcelona

WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 95%

53% +1.5 84%

26% +2.5 42%

0% +3.5 32%

0% +4.5 11%

63% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Celta Vigo averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Barcelona averages 2.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

28%

Draw

23%

Away Win

50%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Celta Vigo(A) 0 - 1 Barcelona Away

Nov 2025 Celta Vigo 2 - 4 Barcelona Away

Apr 2025 Celta Vigo(A) 3 - 4 Barcelona Away

Nov 2024 Celta Vigo 2 - 2 Barcelona Draw

Feb 2024 Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Barcelona Away

In the last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Celta Vigo — unbeaten run (home)0

Celta Vigo — scoring streak (home)3

Barcelona — winless run (away)0

Barcelona — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celta Vigo Win (1)28%

Draw (X)23%

Barcelona Win (2)50%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 95%

53% +1.5 84%

26% +2.5 42%

0% +3.5 32%

0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 5%

47% -1.5 16%

74% -2.5 58%

100% -3.5 68%

100% -4.5 89%

Celta Vigo vs Barcelona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celta Vigo — scored (home)1.68

Celta Vigo — conceded (home)1.11

Barcelona — scored (away)2.63

Barcelona — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals3.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%

No37%

Rate per Team

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (home)63%

Barcelona — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celta Vigo (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Barcelona (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celta Vigo

10 9 15 11 8

Barcelona

12 12 6 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Celta Vigo (home)

For2.1

Barcelona (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Celta Vigo — total shots (home)12.4

Barcelona — total shots (away)15.1

Shots on Target

Celta Vigo — on target (home)5.3

Barcelona — on target (away)5.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box4.11

Barcelona

Inside the box11.45

Outside the box6.37

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target10%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Iago Aspas

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

Alfon González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Barcelona

Raphinha

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target25%

R. Lewandowski

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target44%

Lamine Yamal

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target26%

J. Koundé

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Dani Olmo

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo xG (home)1.44

Barcelona xG (away)2.34

Average Possession

53.71% Possession 69.08%

Team Comparison Celta Vigo vs Barcelona

84.66% Pass accuracy 88.45%

517.95 Passes per match 632.84

-0.14 Goals prevented -0.04

12.16 Fouls committed 9.68

2.42 Goalkeeper saves 1.87

1.86 Offsides 1.76

14.68 Tackles per match 14.16

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celta Vigo vs Barcelona prediction analysis

Review Celta Vigo vs Barcelona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights