What markets are included in the Celta Vigo vs Espanyol prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Celta Vigo vs Espanyol prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Espanyol

Celta Vigo vs Espanyol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-12 16:30

Celta Vigo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Espanyol

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

24%

21%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Celta Vigo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate63%

Espanyol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celta Vigo

WLWWL

Espanyol

WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 63%

53% +1.5 16%

26% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Celta Vigo averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Espanyol averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

24%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Celta Vigo(A) 2 - 2 Espanyol Draw

Nov 2025 Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Espanyol Away

Apr 2025 Celta Vigo 0 - 2 Espanyol Away

Nov 2024 Celta Vigo(A) 1 - 3 Espanyol Away

Mar 2023 Celta Vigo(A) 3 - 1 Espanyol Home

In the last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Celta Vigo — unbeaten run (home)0

Celta Vigo — scoring streak (home)3

Espanyol — winless run (away)4

Espanyol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celta Vigo Win (1)55%

Draw (X)24%

Espanyol Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 63%

53% +1.5 16%

26% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 37%

47% -1.5 84%

74% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Celta Vigo vs Espanyol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celta Vigo — scored (home)1.68

Celta Vigo — conceded (home)1.11

Espanyol — scored (away)0.89

Espanyol — conceded (away)1.63

Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (home)63%

Espanyol — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celta Vigo (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Espanyol (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celta Vigo

10 9 15 11 8

Espanyol

10 11 6 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Celta Vigo (home)

For2.1

Espanyol (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Celta Vigo — total shots (home)12.4

Espanyol — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Celta Vigo — on target (home)5.3

Espanyol — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box4.11

Espanyol

Inside the box5.79

Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target10%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Iago Aspas

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

Alfon González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target20%

Roberto Fernández

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target11%

A. Véliz

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target4%

Edu Expósito

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target5%

L. Cabrera

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo xG (home)1.44

Espanyol xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

53.71% Possession 39.55%

Team Comparison Celta Vigo vs Espanyol

84.66% Pass accuracy 76.58%

517.95 Passes per match 328.29

-0.14 Goals prevented -0.04

12.16 Fouls committed 13.11

2.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.82

1.86 Offsides 1.74

14.68 Tackles per match 16.84

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celta Vigo vs Espanyol prediction analysis

Review Celta Vigo vs Espanyol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights