What markets are included in the Celta Vigo vs Girona prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Celta Vigo vs Girona prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Girona

Celta Vigo vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-09-14 12:00

Celta Vigo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Girona

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

29%

37%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Celta Vigo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate63%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celta Vigo

WDLWW

Girona

DLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 74%

42% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Celta Vigo averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

29%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Celta Vigo(A) 2 - 1 Girona Home

Sep 2025 Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Girona Draw

Mar 2025 Celta Vigo(A) 2 - 2 Girona Draw

Sep 2024 Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Girona Draw

Jan 2024 Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Girona Away

In the last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Celta Vigo — unbeaten run (home)1

Celta Vigo — scoring streak (home)3

Girona — winless run (away)9

Girona — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celta Vigo Win (1)34%

Draw (X)29%

Girona Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 74%

42% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 26%

58% -1.5 79%

79% -2.5 100%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Celta Vigo vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celta Vigo — scored (home)1.53

Celta Vigo — conceded (home)1.47

Girona — scored (away)0.95

Girona — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (home)63%

Girona — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.534%

Under 10.566%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celta Vigo (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Girona (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celta Vigo

6 10 8 5 7

Girona

7 14 9 17 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Celta Vigo (home)

For1.6

Girona (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Celta Vigo — total shots (home)11.5

Girona — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Celta Vigo — on target (home)4.4

Girona — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celta Vigo

Inside the box6.55

Outside the box3.5

Girona

Inside the box7.24

Outside the box3.95

Player Shots Celta Vigo

Ferran Jutglà

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target27%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target20%

Bryan Zaragoza

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target16%

Pablo Durán

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

W. Swedberg

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Girona

A. Ounahi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

V. Vanat

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target15%

V. Tsygankov

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target6%

C. Stuani

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target10%

Joel Roca

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo xG (home)1.32

Girona xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

50.42% Possession 50.63%

Team Comparison Celta Vigo vs Girona

85.47% Pass accuracy 85.03%

497.66 Passes per match 467.16

0.06 Goals prevented 0.22

11.68 Fouls committed 10.74

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 3.35

2.17 Offsides 1.95

14.26 Tackles per match 15.42

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celta Vigo vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Celta Vigo vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights