What markets are included in the Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas

Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-03-31 19:00

Celta Vigo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Las Palmas

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

23%

22%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Celta Vigo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate63%

Las Palmas (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celta Vigo

WLWWL

Las Palmas

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 63%

53% +1.5 21%

26% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Celta Vigo averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Las Palmas averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

23%

Away Win

22%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2025 Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Las Palmas Draw

Oct 2024 Celta Vigo(A) 1 - 0 Las Palmas Home

Apr 2024 Celta Vigo 4 - 1 Las Palmas Home

Oct 2023 Celta Vigo(A) 1 - 2 Las Palmas Away

In the last 4 meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Celta Vigo — unbeaten run (home)0

Celta Vigo — scoring streak (home)3

Las Palmas — winless run (away)3

Las Palmas — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celta Vigo Win (1)55%

Draw (X)23%

Las Palmas Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 63%

53% +1.5 21%

26% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 37%

47% -1.5 79%

74% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celta Vigo — scored (home)1.68

Celta Vigo — conceded (home)1.11

Las Palmas — scored (away)1

Las Palmas — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (home)63%

Las Palmas — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.568%

Under 6.532%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celta Vigo (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Las Palmas (away)

Corners for3.2

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celta Vigo

10 9 15 11 8

Las Palmas

14 16 6 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Celta Vigo (home)

For2.1

Las Palmas (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Celta Vigo — total shots (home)12.4

Las Palmas — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Celta Vigo — on target (home)5.3

Las Palmas — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box4.11

Las Palmas

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box4.37

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target10%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Iago Aspas

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

Alfon González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Las Palmas

Alberto Moleiro

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target14%

Sandro Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target13%

O. McBurnie

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target9%

Kirian Rodríguez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target10%

Álex Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo xG (home)1.44

Las Palmas xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

53.71% Possession 50.95%

Team Comparison Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas

84.66% Pass accuracy 80.18%

517.95 Passes per match 434.03

-0.14 Goals prevented 0.08

12.16 Fouls committed 11.89

2.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.37

1.86 Offsides 1.55

14.68 Tackles per match 16.26

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas prediction analysis

Review Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights