Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Nice

Celta Vigo vs Nice prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-10-23 19:00
Celta Vigo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Nice
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
23%
2
19%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Celta Vigo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate86%

Nice (Away)

Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celta Vigo
LLWDW
Nice
LWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 50%
43% +1.5 0%
14% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
86% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Celta Vigo averages 1.57 goals scored at home, while Nice averages 0.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
23%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2025 Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Nice Home

In the last 1 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Celta Vigo — unbeaten run (home)0
Celta Vigo — scoring streak (home)7
Nice — winless run (away)4
Nice — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Celta Vigo Win (1)58%
Draw (X)23%
Nice Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 50%
43% +1.5 0%
14% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 50%
57% -1.5 100%
86% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Celta Vigo vs Nice — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celta Vigo — scored (home)1.57
Celta Vigo — conceded (home)1.29
Nice — scored (away)0.5
Nice — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (home)86%
Nice — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)68%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.554%
Under 7.546%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celta Vigo (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.1

Nice (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celta Vigo
8 7 7 3 9
Nice
9 7 10 18 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Celta Vigo (home)

For3.0

Nice (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Celta Vigo — total shots (home)12.0
Nice — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Celta Vigo — on target (home)4.1
Nice — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.21
Outside the box3.57

Nice

Inside the box8.13
Outside the box4.25

Player Shots Celta Vigo

W. Swedberg
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Iago Aspas
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
Fer López
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Borja Iglesias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
J. El Abdellaoui
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%

Player Shots Nice

T. Moffi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Kevin Carlos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
Tiago Gouveia
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
C. Vanhoutte
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Cho
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo xG (home)1.29
Nice xG (away)1.39

Average Possession

48.64% Possession 43.25%

Team Comparison Celta Vigo vs Nice

84.21% Pass accuracy 80.25%
470.36 Passes per match 380.13
-0.02 Goals prevented -0.29
13.79 Fouls committed 10.5
2.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.71
1.85 Offsides 1
14.71 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celta Vigo vs Nice prediction analysis

Review Celta Vigo vs Nice with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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