Prediction Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
La Liga
2026-08-16
19:30
Celta Vigo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Osasuna
Away
Prediction Summary
1
46%
X
26%
2
28%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Celta Vigo (Home)
Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate63%
Osasuna (Away)
Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%
Team Form last 5 matches
Celta Vigo
WDLWW
Osasuna
LLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
37%
42%
+1.5
26%
21%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
63%
BTTS
37%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.
Celta Vigo averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while Osasuna averages 0.68 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
46%
Draw
26%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Osasuna
Away
Oct 2025
Celta Vigo(A)
3 - 2
Osasuna
Home
Feb 2025
Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Osasuna
Home
Sep 2024
Celta Vigo(A)
2 - 3
Osasuna
Away
Feb 2024
Celta Vigo(A)
3 - 0
Osasuna
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Celta Vigo — unbeaten run (home)1
Celta Vigo — scoring streak (home)3
Osasuna — winless run (away)7
Osasuna — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Celta Vigo Win (1)46%
Draw (X)26%
Osasuna Win (2)28%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
37%
42%
+1.5
26%
21%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
63%
58%
-1.5
74%
79%
-2.5
95%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Celta Vigo — scored (home)1.53
Celta Vigo — conceded (home)1.47
Osasuna — scored (away)0.68
Osasuna — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.53
Both Teams To Score
Yes50%
No50%
Rate per Team
Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (home)63%
Osasuna — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Celta Vigo (home)
Corners for4.5
Corners against3.8
Osasuna (away)
Corners for2.9
Corners against5.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Celta Vigo
6
10
8
5
7
Osasuna
10
16
12
11
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Celta Vigo (home)
For1.6
Osasuna (away)
For2.5
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.565%
Under 19.535%
Over 22.550%
Under 22.550%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.46
Celta Vigo
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.29
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.81
Osasuna
Shots Over 9.552%
Shots Over 11.535%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.17
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.525%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.32
Shots per Game
Celta Vigo — total shots (home)11.5
Osasuna — total shots (away)8.9
Shots on Target
Celta Vigo — on target (home)4.4
Osasuna — on target (away)2.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Celta Vigo
Inside the box6.55
Outside the box3.5
Osasuna
Inside the box8.29
Outside the box3.55
Player Shots Celta Vigo
Ferran Jutglà
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Borja Iglesias
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target20%
Bryan Zaragoza
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target16%
Pablo Durán
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
W. Swedberg
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Osasuna
A. Budimir
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target38%
Víctor Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target29%
Raúl García
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target11%
Rubén García
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target3%
Lucas Torró
Shots on Target/Game0.2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta Vigo xG (home)1.32
Osasuna xG (away)1.21
Average Possession
50.42%
Possession
46.84%
Team Comparison Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
85.47%
Pass accuracy
78.97%
497.66
Passes per match
386.37
0.06
Goals prevented
0.07
11.68
Fouls committed
13.47
2.97
Goalkeeper saves
3.3
2.17
Offsides
1.5
14.26
Tackles per match
14.5
League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna prediction analysis
Review Celta Vigo vs Osasuna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights