What markets are included in the Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

La Liga 2024-10-19 19:00

Celta Vigo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Real Madrid

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

28%

33%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Celta Vigo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate63%

Real Madrid (Away)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celta Vigo

WLWWL

Real Madrid

WWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 95%

53% +1.5 53%

26% +2.5 26%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Celta Vigo averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Real Madrid averages 1.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

28%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid Away

Dec 2025 Celta Vigo(A) 2 - 0 Real Madrid Home

May 2025 Celta Vigo(A) 2 - 3 Real Madrid Away

Jan 2025 Celta Vigo(A) 2 - 5 Real Madrid Away

Oct 2024 Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid Away

In the last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Celta Vigo — unbeaten run (home)0

Celta Vigo — scoring streak (home)3

Real Madrid — winless run (away)0

Real Madrid — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celta Vigo Win (1)40%

Draw (X)28%

Real Madrid Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 95%

53% +1.5 53%

26% +2.5 26%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 5%

47% -1.5 47%

74% -2.5 74%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celta Vigo — scored (home)1.68

Celta Vigo — conceded (home)1.11

Real Madrid — scored (away)1.74

Real Madrid — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (home)63%

Real Madrid — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.542%

Under 8.558%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celta Vigo (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Real Madrid (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celta Vigo

10 9 15 11 8

Real Madrid

10 12 26 8 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Celta Vigo (home)

For2.1

Real Madrid (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Celta Vigo — total shots (home)12.4

Real Madrid — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Celta Vigo — on target (home)5.3

Real Madrid — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box4.11

Real Madrid

Inside the box10.61

Outside the box6.08

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target10%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Iago Aspas

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

Alfon González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé

Shots on Target/Game2.8

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target79%

A. Güler

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target14%

Vinícius Júnior

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

Brahim Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Bellingham

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo xG (home)1.44

Real Madrid xG (away)1.98

Average Possession

53.71% Possession 60.42%

Team Comparison Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid

84.66% Pass accuracy 89.42%

517.95 Passes per match 598.26

-0.14 Goals prevented 0.04

12.16 Fouls committed 8.74

2.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.37

1.86 Offsides 2.36

14.68 Tackles per match 15.42

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid prediction analysis

Review Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights