What markets are included in the Celta Vigo vs Sevilla prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Celta Vigo vs Sevilla prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

La Liga 2025-05-10 14:15

Celta Vigo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Sevilla

Away

Prediction Summary

48%

25%

27%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Celta Vigo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate63%

Sevilla (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celta Vigo

WLWWL

Sevilla

LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 42%

26% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Celta Vigo averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Sevilla averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

48%

Draw

25%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Sevilla Home

Jan 2026 Celta Vigo(A) 1 - 0 Sevilla Home

May 2025 Celta Vigo 3 - 2 Sevilla Home

Dec 2024 Celta Vigo(A) 0 - 1 Sevilla Away

Mar 2024 Celta Vigo(A) 2 - 1 Sevilla Home

In the last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Celta Vigo — unbeaten run (home)0

Celta Vigo — scoring streak (home)3

Sevilla — winless run (away)5

Sevilla — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celta Vigo Win (1)48%

Draw (X)25%

Sevilla Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 42%

26% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%

47% -1.5 58%

74% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celta Vigo — scored (home)1.68

Celta Vigo — conceded (home)1.11

Sevilla — scored (away)1.32

Sevilla — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (home)63%

Sevilla — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.534%

Under 9.566%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celta Vigo (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Sevilla (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celta Vigo

10 9 15 11 8

Sevilla

10 9 6 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Celta Vigo (home)

For2.1

Sevilla (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Celta Vigo — total shots (home)12.4

Sevilla — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Celta Vigo — on target (home)5.3

Sevilla — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box4.11

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45

Outside the box5.05

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target10%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Iago Aspas

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

Alfon González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Jesús Navas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Kike Salas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target26%

Juanlu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo xG (home)1.44

Sevilla xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

53.71% Possession 50.58%

Team Comparison Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

84.66% Pass accuracy 81.82%

517.95 Passes per match 432.63

-0.14 Goals prevented -0.07

12.16 Fouls committed 13

2.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

1.86 Offsides 2.06

14.68 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla prediction analysis

Review Celta Vigo vs Sevilla with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights