What markets are included in the Celta Vigo vs Villarreal prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Celta Vigo vs Villarreal prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Villarreal

Celta Vigo vs Villarreal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-23 17:00

Celta Vigo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Villarreal

Away

Prediction Summary

39%

26%

35%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Celta Vigo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate63%

Villarreal (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celta Vigo

WLWWL

Villarreal

WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 53%

26% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

63% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Celta Vigo averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Villarreal averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

39%

Draw

26%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Celta Vigo(A) 1 - 2 Villarreal Away

Aug 2025 Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Villarreal Draw

Apr 2025 Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Villarreal Home

Aug 2024 Celta Vigo(A) 3 - 4 Villarreal Away

May 2024 Celta Vigo 3 - 2 Villarreal Home

In the last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Celta Vigo — unbeaten run (home)0

Celta Vigo — scoring streak (home)3

Villarreal — winless run (away)0

Villarreal — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celta Vigo Win (1)39%

Draw (X)26%

Villarreal Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 53%

26% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%

47% -1.5 47%

74% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Celta Vigo vs Villarreal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celta Vigo — scored (home)1.68

Celta Vigo — conceded (home)1.11

Villarreal — scored (away)1.47

Villarreal — conceded (away)1.26

Model expected combined goals2.66

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (home)63%

Villarreal — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.548%

Under 8.552%

Over 9.534%

Under 9.566%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celta Vigo (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Villarreal (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celta Vigo

10 9 15 11 8

Villarreal

10 8 9 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Celta Vigo (home)

For2.1

Villarreal (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Celta Vigo — total shots (home)12.4

Villarreal — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

Celta Vigo — on target (home)5.3

Villarreal — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box4.11

Villarreal

Inside the box10.32

Outside the box3.84

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target10%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Iago Aspas

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

Alfon González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Villarreal

Pau Cabanes

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target10%

Gerard Moreno

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Danjuma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Ayoze Pérez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Barry

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo xG (home)1.44

Villarreal xG (away)1.74

Average Possession

53.71% Possession 47.55%

Team Comparison Celta Vigo vs Villarreal

84.66% Pass accuracy 82.89%

517.95 Passes per match 427.08

-0.14 Goals prevented -0.22

12.16 Fouls committed 11.63

2.42 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.86 Offsides 2.2

14.68 Tackles per match 17.05

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celta Vigo vs Villarreal prediction analysis

Review Celta Vigo vs Villarreal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights