Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Celtic vs AS Roma

Celtic vs AS Roma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-12-11 20:00
Celtic
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-2
AS Roma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
17%
X
20%
2
63%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Celtic (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match2.4
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

AS Roma (Away)

Goals scored / match1.8
Goals conceded / match0.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celtic
WLWDL
AS Roma
LDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 100%
40% +1.5 60%
20% +2.5 20%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Celtic averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while AS Roma averages 1.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
17%
Draw
20%
Away Win
63%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 1

Dec 2025 Celtic 0 - 3 AS Roma Away

In the last 1 meetings, Celtic won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Celtic — unbeaten run (home)0
Celtic — scoring streak (home)2
AS Roma — winless run (away)2
AS Roma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celtic Win (1)17%
Draw (X)20%
AS Roma Win (2)63%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 100%
40% +1.5 60%
20% +2.5 20%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 0%
60% -1.5 40%
80% -2.5 80%
80% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Celtic vs AS Roma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celtic — scored (home)1.4
Celtic — conceded (home)2.4
AS Roma — scored (away)1.8
AS Roma — conceded (away)0.6
Model expected combined goals3.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Celtic — BTTS matches (home)60%
AS Roma — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)60%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.590%
Under 7.510%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celtic (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.6

AS Roma (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celtic
8 18 14 6 20
AS Roma
8 6 10 10 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Celtic (home)

For1.0

AS Roma (away)

For3.5

Shots per Game

Celtic — total shots (home)11.8
AS Roma — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Celtic — on target (home)3.8
AS Roma — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celtic

Inside the box7.1
Outside the box1.8

AS Roma

Inside the box10
Outside the box4.6

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target40%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Engels
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Hatate
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots AS Roma

M. Soulé
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target38%
L. Pellegrini
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. El Shaarawy
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
E. Ferguson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celtic xG (home)1.71
AS Roma xG (away)1.56

Average Possession

49.1% Possession 52.8%

Team Comparison Celtic vs AS Roma

81.8% Pass accuracy 81.8%
467.7 Passes per match 488.9
0.48 Goals prevented 0.19
11.8 Fouls committed 15.7
3.7 Goalkeeper saves 2.3
1.5 Offsides 2.7
15 Tackles per match 17.4

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celtic vs AS Roma prediction analysis

Review Celtic vs AS Roma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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