Prediction Analysis: Celtic vs Falkirk
Celtic vs Falkirk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premiership
2026-08-29
14:00
Celtic
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Falkirk
Away
Prediction Summary
1
62%
X
22%
2
16%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Celtic (Home)
Goals scored / match2.26
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate53%
BTTS rate53%
Falkirk (Away)
Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate33%
Team Form last 5 matches
Celtic
WWWWW
Falkirk
LLLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
95%
+0.5
56%
63%
+1.5
28%
53%
+2.5
11%
16%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
33%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.
Celtic averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while Falkirk averages 0.94 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
62%
Draw
22%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Celtic
3 - 1
Falkirk
Home
Feb 2026
Celtic
2 - 0
Falkirk
Home
Jan 2026
Celtic(A)
1 - 0
Falkirk
Home
Oct 2025
Celtic
4 - 0
Falkirk
Home
Aug 2025
Celtic
4 - 1
Falkirk
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Celtic won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Celtic — unbeaten run (home)5
Celtic — scoring streak (home)16
Falkirk — winless run (away)2
Falkirk — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Celtic Win (1)62%
Draw (X)22%
Falkirk Win (2)16%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
95%
+0.5
56%
63%
+1.5
28%
53%
+2.5
11%
16%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
5%
-0.5
44%
37%
-1.5
72%
47%
-2.5
89%
84%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Celtic vs Falkirk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Celtic — scored (home)2.26
Celtic — conceded (home)0.79
Falkirk — scored (away)0.94
Falkirk — conceded (away)1.56
Model expected combined goals2.78
Both Teams To Score
Yes49%
No51%
Rate per Team
Celtic — BTTS matches (home)53%
Falkirk — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)43%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Celtic (home)
Corners for7.6
Corners against3.7
Falkirk (away)
Corners for5.1
Corners against5.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Celtic
16
13
8
7
15
Falkirk
16
7
11
10
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Celtic (home)
For1.9
Falkirk (away)
For2.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.93
Celtic
Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.85
On Target Over 3.574%
On Target Over 4.560%
On Target Over 5.545%
Expected on target5.50
Falkirk
Shots Over 9.551%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.08
On Target Over 3.540%
On Target Over 4.524%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.26
Shots per Game
Celtic — total shots (home)18.2
Falkirk — total shots (away)11.0
Shots on Target
Celtic — on target (home)6.9
Falkirk — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Celtic
Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58
Falkirk
Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.37
Player Shots Celtic
B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Falkirk
B. Stewart
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. MacIver
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Miller
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%
Brian Graham
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Broggio
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Celtic xG (home)2.02
Falkirk xG (away)1.37
Average Possession
65.53%
Possession
50.79%
Team Comparison Celtic vs Falkirk
86.13%
Pass accuracy
76.66%
602.87
Passes per match
400.39
-0.28
Goals prevented
-0.43
12.42
Fouls committed
12.05
2.29
Goalkeeper saves
3.03
1.5
Offsides
2.14
13.92
Tackles per match
18.11
League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Celtic vs Falkirk prediction analysis
Review Celtic vs Falkirk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights