Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian

Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-07 15:00
Celtic
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Heart Of Midlothian
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
25%
2
24%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Celtic (Home)

Goals scored / match2.26
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate53%
BTTS rate53%

Heart Of Midlothian (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celtic
WWWWW
Heart Of Midlothian
LWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 79%
63% +1.5 63%
53% +2.5 16%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Celtic averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while Heart Of Midlothian averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
25%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Celtic 3 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian Home
Jan 2026 Celtic(A) 2 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian Draw
Dec 2025 Celtic 1 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian Away
Oct 2025 Celtic(A) 1 - 3 Heart Of Midlothian Away
Mar 2025 Celtic 3 - 0 Heart Of Midlothian Home

In the last 5 meetings, Celtic won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Celtic — unbeaten run (home)5
Celtic — scoring streak (home)16
Heart Of Midlothian — winless run (away)2
Heart Of Midlothian — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celtic Win (1)51%
Draw (X)25%
Heart Of Midlothian Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 79%
63% +1.5 63%
53% +2.5 16%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 21%
37% -1.5 37%
47% -2.5 84%
84% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celtic — scored (home)2.26
Celtic — conceded (home)0.79
Heart Of Midlothian — scored (away)1.58
Heart Of Midlothian — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Celtic — BTTS matches (home)53%
Heart Of Midlothian — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.589%
Under 7.511%
Over 8.579%
Under 8.521%
Over 9.566%
Under 9.534%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celtic (home)

Corners for7.6
Corners against3.7

Heart Of Midlothian (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celtic
16 13 8 7 15
Heart Of Midlothian
11 8 8 10 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Celtic (home)

For1.9

Heart Of Midlothian (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Celtic — total shots (home)18.2
Heart Of Midlothian — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Celtic — on target (home)6.9
Heart Of Midlothian — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celtic

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58

Heart Of Midlothian

Inside the box9.74
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Heart Of Midlothian

L. Shankland
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target48%
Cláudio Braga
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Kyziridis
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kabore
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ageu
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celtic xG (home)2.02
Heart Of Midlothian xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

65.53% Possession 53.39%

Team Comparison Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian

86.13% Pass accuracy 75.55%
602.87 Passes per match 414.24
-0.28 Goals prevented -0.46
12.42 Fouls committed 10.92
2.29 Goalkeeper saves 2
1.5 Offsides 1.31
13.92 Tackles per match 16.87

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction analysis

Review Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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