Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Celtic vs Hibernian

Celtic vs Hibernian prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Premiership 2025-09-27 14:00
Celtic
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Hibernian
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
23%
2
23%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Celtic (Home)

Goals scored / match2.26
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate53%
BTTS rate53%

Hibernian (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celtic
WWWWW
Hibernian
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 63%
63% +1.5 53%
53% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Low.

Celtic averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while Hibernian averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
23%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Celtic(A) 2 - 1 Hibernian Home
Feb 2026 Celtic 1 - 2 Hibernian Away
Nov 2025 Celtic(A) 2 - 1 Hibernian Home
Sep 2025 Celtic 0 - 0 Hibernian Draw
May 2025 Celtic 3 - 1 Hibernian Home

In the last 5 meetings, Celtic won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Celtic — unbeaten run (home)5
Celtic — scoring streak (home)16
Hibernian — winless run (away)0
Hibernian — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celtic Win (1)54%
Draw (X)23%
Hibernian Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 63%
63% +1.5 53%
53% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 37%
37% -1.5 47%
47% -2.5 79%
84% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Celtic vs Hibernian — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celtic — scored (home)2.26
Celtic — conceded (home)0.79
Hibernian — scored (away)1.37
Hibernian — conceded (away)1.32
Model expected combined goals2.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Celtic — BTTS matches (home)53%
Hibernian — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celtic (home)

Corners for7.6
Corners against3.7

Hibernian (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celtic
16 13 8 7 15
Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Celtic (home)

For1.9

Hibernian (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Celtic — total shots (home)18.2
Hibernian — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Celtic — on target (home)6.9
Hibernian — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celtic

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celtic xG (home)2.02
Hibernian xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

65.53% Possession 46.74%

Team Comparison Celtic vs Hibernian

86.13% Pass accuracy 77.37%
602.87 Passes per match 392.29
-0.28 Goals prevented -0.28
12.42 Fouls committed 11.05
2.29 Goalkeeper saves 2.84
1.5 Offsides 1.81
13.92 Tackles per match 13.03

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celtic vs Hibernian prediction analysis

Review Celtic vs Hibernian with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top