Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Celtic vs Kairat Almaty

Celtic vs Kairat Almaty prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-08-20 19:00
Celtic
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
5%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Kairat Almaty
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
48%
2
8%
Under 2.5
95%
BTTS No
93%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Celtic (Home)

Goals scored / match1.83
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

Kairat Almaty (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celtic
DDDLL
Kairat Almaty
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 63%
33% +1.5 25%
33% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
17% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 5%. Model confidence is High.

Celtic averages 1.83 goals scored at home, while Kairat Almaty averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
95%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
48%
Away Win
8%
Over 2.5
5%
BTTS Yes
7%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Celtic(A) 0 - 0 Kairat Almaty Draw
Aug 2025 Celtic 0 - 0 Kairat Almaty Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Celtic won 0, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Celtic — unbeaten run (home)1
Celtic — scoring streak (home)0
Kairat Almaty — winless run (away)8
Kairat Almaty — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celtic Win (1)43%
Draw (X)48%
Kairat Almaty Win (2)8%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 63%
33% +1.5 25%
33% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
17% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 37%
67% -1.5 75%
67% -2.5 100%
83% -3.5 100%
83% -4.5 100%

Celtic vs Kairat Almaty — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celtic — scored (home)1.83
Celtic — conceded (home)0.83
Kairat Almaty — scored (away)0.88
Kairat Almaty — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals0.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes7%
No93%

Rate per Team

Celtic — BTTS matches (home)67%
Kairat Almaty — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.592%
Under 7.58%
Over 8.592%
Under 8.58%
Over 9.583%
Under 9.517%
Over 10.583%
Under 10.517%
Expected total corners (blended average)12.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celtic (home)

Corners for7.2
Corners against5.6

Kairat Almaty (away)

Corners for2.3
Corners against9.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celtic
8 14 7 18 12
Kairat Almaty
12 5 9 4 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.567%
Under 2.533%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Celtic (home)

For1.0

Kairat Almaty (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Celtic — total shots (home)13.0
Kairat Almaty — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Celtic — on target (home)5.6
Kairat Almaty — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celtic

Inside the box6.7
Outside the box2.9

Kairat Almaty

Inside the box4.91
Outside the box5.36

Player Shots Celtic

N. Kühn
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
K. Furuhashi
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Engels
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Hatate
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Kairat Almaty

D. Satpaev
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
O. Arad
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target0%
Edmilson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Zaria
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Stanojev
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celtic xG (home)1.42
Kairat Almaty xG (away)0.75

Average Possession

50.9% Possession 40.91%

Team Comparison Celtic vs Kairat Almaty

86.7% Pass accuracy 73.55%
506.8 Passes per match 377.09
0.03 Goals prevented 0.34
9.2 Fouls committed 11.73
3.9 Goalkeeper saves 4.91
2 Offsides 1.3
18.83 Tackles per match 20.45

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celtic vs Kairat Almaty prediction analysis

Review Celtic vs Kairat Almaty with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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