Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Celtic vs Livingston

Celtic vs Livingston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-08-23 14:00
Celtic
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Livingston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
68%
X
19%
2
13%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Celtic (Home)

Goals scored / match2.26
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate53%
BTTS rate53%

Livingston (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celtic
WWWWW
Livingston
LDLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 50%
63% +1.5 30%
53% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Celtic averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while Livingston averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
68%
Draw
19%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Celtic 2 - 1 Livingston Home
Dec 2025 Celtic(A) 4 - 2 Livingston Home
Aug 2025 Celtic 3 - 0 Livingston Home
Mar 2024 Celtic(A) 3 - 0 Livingston Home
Mar 2024 Celtic 4 - 2 Livingston Home

In the last 5 meetings, Celtic won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Celtic — unbeaten run (home)5
Celtic — scoring streak (home)16
Livingston — winless run (away)2
Livingston — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celtic Win (1)68%
Draw (X)19%
Livingston Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 50%
63% +1.5 30%
53% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 50%
37% -1.5 70%
47% -2.5 100%
84% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Celtic vs Livingston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celtic — scored (home)2.26
Celtic — conceded (home)0.79
Livingston — scored (away)0.8
Livingston — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Celtic — BTTS matches (home)53%
Livingston — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)49%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.557%
Under 10.543%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celtic (home)

Corners for7.6
Corners against3.7

Livingston (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celtic
16 13 8 7 15
Livingston
15 9 12 15 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Celtic (home)

For1.9

Livingston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Celtic — total shots (home)18.2
Livingston — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Celtic — on target (home)6.9
Livingston — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celtic

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celtic xG (home)2.02
Livingston xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

65.53% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Celtic vs Livingston

86.13% Pass accuracy 73.13%
602.87 Passes per match 372.84
-0.28 Goals prevented 0.11
12.42 Fouls committed 12.89
2.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
1.5 Offsides 1.49
13.92 Tackles per match 15.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celtic vs Livingston prediction analysis

Review Celtic vs Livingston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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