Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Celtic vs Motherwell

Celtic vs Motherwell prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-10-05 14:00
Celtic
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Motherwell
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
29%
2
19%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Celtic (Home)

Goals scored / match2.26
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate53%
BTTS rate53%

Motherwell (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celtic
WWWWW
Motherwell
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 74%
63% +1.5 37%
53% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Celtic averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while Motherwell averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
29%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
36%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Celtic(A) 3 - 2 Motherwell Home
Mar 2026 Celtic 3 - 1 Motherwell Home
Dec 2025 Celtic(A) 0 - 2 Motherwell Away
Oct 2025 Celtic 3 - 2 Motherwell Home
Feb 2025 Celtic(A) 3 - 1 Motherwell Home

In the last 5 meetings, Celtic won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Celtic — unbeaten run (home)5
Celtic — scoring streak (home)16
Motherwell — winless run (away)0
Motherwell — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Celtic Win (1)53%
Draw (X)29%
Motherwell Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 74%
63% +1.5 37%
53% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 26%
37% -1.5 63%
47% -2.5 79%
84% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Celtic vs Motherwell — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Celtic — scored (home)2.26
Celtic — conceded (home)0.79
Motherwell — scored (away)1.42
Motherwell — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%
No64%

Rate per Team

Celtic — BTTS matches (home)53%
Motherwell — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Celtic (home)

Corners for7.6
Corners against3.7

Motherwell (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celtic
16 13 8 7 15
Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Celtic (home)

For1.9

Motherwell (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Celtic — total shots (home)18.2
Motherwell — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Celtic — on target (home)6.9
Motherwell — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Celtic

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celtic xG (home)2.02
Motherwell xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

65.53% Possession 57.89%

Team Comparison Celtic vs Motherwell

86.13% Pass accuracy 84.5%
602.87 Passes per match 533
-0.28 Goals prevented -0.06
12.42 Fouls committed 11.66
2.29 Goalkeeper saves 2.63
1.5 Offsides 2.24
13.92 Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Celtic vs Motherwell prediction analysis

Review Celtic vs Motherwell with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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