Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cercle Brugge vs Gent

Cercle Brugge vs Gent prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-09-28 14:00
Cercle Brugge
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Gent
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
24%
2
32%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cercle Brugge (Home)

Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate78%

Gent (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cercle Brugge
LLWWW
Gent
DLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 65%
44% +1.5 25%
11% +2.5 20%
6% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%
78% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cercle Brugge averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while Gent averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
24%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Cercle Brugge(A) 1 - 0 Gent Home
Dec 2025 Cercle Brugge 1 - 3 Gent Away
Sep 2025 Cercle Brugge 2 - 4 Gent Away
Dec 2024 Cercle Brugge(A) 1 - 1 Gent Draw
Sep 2024 Cercle Brugge 2 - 1 Gent Home

In the last 5 meetings, Cercle Brugge won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Cercle Brugge — unbeaten run (home)0
Cercle Brugge — scoring streak (home)4
Gent — winless run (away)5
Gent — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cercle Brugge Win (1)43%
Draw (X)24%
Gent Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 65%
44% +1.5 25%
11% +2.5 20%
6% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 35%
56% -1.5 75%
89% -2.5 80%
94% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 100%

Cercle Brugge vs Gent — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cercle Brugge — scored (home)1.44
Cercle Brugge — conceded (home)1.94
Gent — scored (away)1.2
Gent — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Cercle Brugge — BTTS matches (home)78%
Gent — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)69%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.584%
Under 7.516%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.569%
Under 9.531%
Over 10.558%
Under 10.542%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cercle Brugge (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.4

Gent (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cercle Brugge
14 10 13 13 11
Gent
6 6 13 13 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.556%
Under 2.544%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Cercle Brugge (home)

For1.2

Gent (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Cercle Brugge — total shots (home)15.3
Gent — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Cercle Brugge — on target (home)5.4
Gent — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cercle Brugge

Inside the box10.39
Outside the box3.92

Gent

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box4.12

Player Shots Cercle Brugge

O. Adewumi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
O. Diakité
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Minda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ngoura
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Gent

W. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Dean
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Gandelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
B. Goore
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cercle Brugge xG (home)1.66
Gent xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

47.67% Possession 49.22%

Team Comparison Cercle Brugge vs Gent

74.75% Pass accuracy 80.63%
367.03 Passes per match 428.1
0.2 Goals prevented -0.05
10.64 Fouls committed 10.17
3.36 Goalkeeper saves 3.59
2.97 Offsides 1.95
19.03 Tackles per match 14.2

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cercle Brugge vs Gent prediction analysis

Review Cercle Brugge vs Gent with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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