Prediction Analysis: Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen
Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Jupiler Pro League
2025-12-13
15:00
Cercle Brugge
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
KV Mechelen
Away
Prediction Summary
1
29%
X
24%
2
47%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Cercle Brugge (Home)
Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate78%
KV Mechelen (Away)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%
Team Form last 5 matches
Cercle Brugge
LLWWW
KV Mechelen
LDDLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
83%
+0.5
80%
44%
+1.5
30%
11%
+2.5
10%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
78%
BTTS
60%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
Cercle Brugge averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while KV Mechelen averages 1.2 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
29%
Draw
24%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Dec 2025
Cercle Brugge
2 - 3
KV Mechelen
Away
Sep 2025
Cercle Brugge(A)
0 - 0
KV Mechelen
Draw
Jan 2025
Cercle Brugge
1 - 0
KV Mechelen
Home
Sep 2024
Cercle Brugge(A)
0 - 2
KV Mechelen
Away
Mar 2024
Cercle Brugge
2 - 3
KV Mechelen
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Cercle Brugge won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Cercle Brugge — unbeaten run (home)0
Cercle Brugge — scoring streak (home)4
KV Mechelen — winless run (away)7
KV Mechelen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Cercle Brugge Win (1)29%
Draw (X)24%
KV Mechelen Win (2)47%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
83%
+0.5
80%
44%
+1.5
30%
11%
+2.5
10%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
17%
-0.5
20%
56%
-1.5
70%
89%
-2.5
90%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Cercle Brugge — scored (home)1.44
Cercle Brugge — conceded (home)1.94
KV Mechelen — scored (away)1.2
KV Mechelen — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.97
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
Cercle Brugge — BTTS matches (home)78%
KV Mechelen — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)69%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Cercle Brugge (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against5.4
KV Mechelen (away)
Corners for4.6
Corners against5.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Cercle Brugge
14
10
13
13
11
KV Mechelen
11
6
4
8
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.558%
Under 2.542%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Cercle Brugge (home)
For1.2
KV Mechelen (away)
For2.2
Shots per Game
Cercle Brugge — total shots (home)15.3
KV Mechelen — total shots (away)9.0
Shots on Target
Cercle Brugge — on target (home)5.4
KV Mechelen — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Cercle Brugge
Inside the box10.39
Outside the box3.92
KV Mechelen
Inside the box6.78
Outside the box3.08
Player Shots Cercle Brugge
O. Adewumi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
O. Diakité
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Minda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ngoura
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Player Shots KV Mechelen
L. Lauberbach
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Schoofs
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Bouke Boersma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. van Brederode
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Raman
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target3%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Cercle Brugge xG (home)1.66
KV Mechelen xG (away)1.15
Average Possession
47.67%
Possession
49.28%
Team Comparison Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen
74.75%
Pass accuracy
79.43%
367.03
Passes per match
408.45
0.2
Goals prevented
0.1
10.64
Fouls committed
10.35
3.36
Goalkeeper saves
4
2.97
Offsides
1.46
19.03
Tackles per match
16.55
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen prediction analysis
Review Cercle Brugge vs KV Mechelen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights