Prediction Analysis: Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Jupiler Pro League
2026-08-14
18:45
Cercle Brugge
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
St. Truiden
Away
Prediction Summary
1
29%
X
24%
2
47%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Cercle Brugge (Home)
Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate78%
St. Truiden (Away)
Goals scored / match1.45
Goals conceded / match1.15
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate55%
Team Form last 5 matches
Cercle Brugge
LLWWW
St. Truiden
WLDLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
83%
+0.5
65%
44%
+1.5
45%
11%
+2.5
20%
6%
+3.5
15%
0%
+4.5
0%
78%
BTTS
55%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
Cercle Brugge averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while St. Truiden averages 1.45 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
29%
Draw
24%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Cercle Brugge(A)
1 - 2
St. Truiden
Away
Aug 2025
Cercle Brugge
1 - 1
St. Truiden
Draw
Apr 2025
Cercle Brugge
3 - 1
St. Truiden
Home
Apr 2025
Cercle Brugge(A)
1 - 3
St. Truiden
Away
Dec 2024
Cercle Brugge(A)
1 - 1
St. Truiden
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Cercle Brugge won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Cercle Brugge — unbeaten run (home)0
Cercle Brugge — scoring streak (home)4
St. Truiden — winless run (away)2
St. Truiden — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Cercle Brugge Win (1)29%
Draw (X)24%
St. Truiden Win (2)47%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
83%
+0.5
65%
44%
+1.5
45%
11%
+2.5
20%
6%
+3.5
15%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
17%
-0.5
35%
56%
-1.5
55%
89%
-2.5
80%
94%
-3.5
85%
100%
-4.5
100%
Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Cercle Brugge — scored (home)1.44
Cercle Brugge — conceded (home)1.94
St. Truiden — scored (away)1.45
St. Truiden — conceded (away)1.15
Model expected combined goals2.99
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
Cercle Brugge — BTTS matches (home)78%
St. Truiden — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)66.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Cercle Brugge (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against5.4
St. Truiden (away)
Corners for5.7
Corners against4.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Cercle Brugge
14
10
13
13
11
St. Truiden
10
8
6
17
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Cercle Brugge (home)
For1.2
St. Truiden (away)
For1.4
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.567%
Under 22.533%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots27.01
Cercle Brugge
Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.554%
Expected shots14.55
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.95
St. Truiden
Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.46
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.37
Shots per Game
Cercle Brugge — total shots (home)15.3
St. Truiden — total shots (away)12.5
Shots on Target
Cercle Brugge — on target (home)5.4
St. Truiden — on target (away)3.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Cercle Brugge
Inside the box10.39
Outside the box3.92
St. Truiden
Inside the box8.93
Outside the box4.83
Player Shots Cercle Brugge
O. Adewumi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
O. Diakité
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Minda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ngoura
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Player Shots St. Truiden
R. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target11%
I. Sebaoui
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
K. Goto
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Muja
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Yamamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Cercle Brugge xG (home)1.66
St. Truiden xG (away)1.67
Average Possession
47.67%
Possession
55.03%
Team Comparison Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden
74.75%
Pass accuracy
81.95%
367.03
Passes per match
478.35
0.2
Goals prevented
0.04
10.64
Fouls committed
10.45
3.36
Goalkeeper saves
2.88
2.97
Offsides
1.97
19.03
Tackles per match
15.98
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden prediction and preview
Preview Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights