Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise

Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-26 15:00
Cercle Brugge
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Union St. Gilloise
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
24%
2
48%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cercle Brugge (Home)

Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate78%

Union St. Gilloise (Away)

Goals scored / match1.15
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate55%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cercle Brugge
LLWWW
Union St. Gilloise
WDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 65%
44% +1.5 25%
11% +2.5 20%
6% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
78% BTTS 55%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cercle Brugge averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while Union St. Gilloise averages 1.15 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
24%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Cercle Brugge 1 - 1 Union St. Gilloise Draw
Nov 2025 Cercle Brugge(A) 0 - 2 Union St. Gilloise Away
Dec 2024 Cercle Brugge 0 - 0 Union St. Gilloise Draw
Oct 2024 Cercle Brugge(A) 3 - 1 Union St. Gilloise Home
May 2024 Cercle Brugge 1 - 2 Union St. Gilloise Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cercle Brugge won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Cercle Brugge — unbeaten run (home)0
Cercle Brugge — scoring streak (home)4
Union St. Gilloise — winless run (away)3
Union St. Gilloise — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cercle Brugge Win (1)28%
Draw (X)24%
Union St. Gilloise Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 65%
44% +1.5 25%
11% +2.5 20%
6% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 35%
56% -1.5 75%
89% -2.5 80%
94% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cercle Brugge — scored (home)1.44
Cercle Brugge — conceded (home)1.94
Union St. Gilloise — scored (away)1.15
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.95

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Cercle Brugge — BTTS matches (home)78%
Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)66.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.595%
Under 6.55%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cercle Brugge (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.4

Union St. Gilloise (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cercle Brugge
14 10 13 13 11
Union St. Gilloise
10 6 16 13 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Cercle Brugge (home)

For1.2

Union St. Gilloise (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Cercle Brugge — total shots (home)15.3
Union St. Gilloise — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Cercle Brugge — on target (home)5.4
Union St. Gilloise — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cercle Brugge

Inside the box10.39
Outside the box3.92

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box10.98
Outside the box4.2

Player Shots Cercle Brugge

O. Adewumi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
O. Diakité
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Minda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ngoura
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Biondic
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cercle Brugge xG (home)1.66
Union St. Gilloise xG (away)1.7

Average Possession

47.67% Possession 52.1%

Team Comparison Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise

74.75% Pass accuracy 79.8%
367.03 Passes per match 431.95
0.2 Goals prevented 0.07
10.64 Fouls committed 12.1
3.36 Goalkeeper saves 1.85
2.97 Offsides 2.53
19.03 Tackles per match 18.43

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise prediction analysis

Review Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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