Prediction Analysis: Cesena vs Sampdoria
Cesena vs Sampdoria prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie B
2026-08-22
13:00
Cesena
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Sampdoria
Away
Prediction Summary
1
46%
X
26%
2
28%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Cesena (Home)
Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate68%
Sampdoria (Away)
Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%
Team Form last 5 matches
Cesena
LDDLL
Sampdoria
LWDLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
58%
42%
+1.5
11%
21%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
68%
BTTS
58%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.
Cesena averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Sampdoria averages 0.68 goals scored away.
Model Strength
52%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
46%
Draw
26%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 4
Apr 2026
Cesena
0 - 0
Sampdoria
Draw
Sep 2025
Cesena(A)
2 - 1
Sampdoria
Home
Jan 2025
Cesena(A)
2 - 1
Sampdoria
Home
Oct 2024
Cesena
3 - 5
Sampdoria
Away
In the last 4 meetings, Cesena won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Cesena — unbeaten run (home)0
Cesena — scoring streak (home)1
Sampdoria — winless run (away)2
Sampdoria — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Cesena Win (1)46%
Draw (X)26%
Sampdoria Win (2)28%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
58%
42%
+1.5
11%
21%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
42%
58%
-1.5
89%
79%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Cesena vs Sampdoria — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Cesena — scored (home)1.47
Cesena — conceded (home)1.53
Sampdoria — scored (away)0.68
Sampdoria — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.58
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Cesena — BTTS matches (home)68%
Sampdoria — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)63%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Cesena (home)
Corners for6.1
Corners against3.5
Sampdoria (away)
Corners for3.9
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Cesena
8
12
9
14
14
Sampdoria
8
13
9
6
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Cesena (home)
For2.3
Sampdoria (away)
For2.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.72
Cesena
Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.79
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.39
Sampdoria
Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.93
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.71
Shots per Game
Cesena — total shots (home)15.2
Sampdoria — total shots (away)11.9
Shots on Target
Cesena — on target (home)4.8
Sampdoria — on target (away)3.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Cesena
Inside the box8.76
Outside the box4.39
Sampdoria
Inside the box6.84
Outside the box5.87
Player Shots Cesena
C. Shpendi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Olivieri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target12%
S. Bastoni
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Corazza
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Piacentini
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Sampdoria
M. Coda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Pafundi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
O. Abildgaard
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Benedetti
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Hadžikadunić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target4%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Cesena xG (home)1.53
Sampdoria xG (away)1.04
Average Possession
49.97%
Possession
50.58%
Team Comparison Cesena vs Sampdoria
81.87%
Pass accuracy
78.05%
447.53
Passes per match
385.55
-0.12
Goals prevented
0.07
13.68
Fouls committed
15.16
2.42
Goalkeeper saves
2.24
2.14
Offsides
2.38
13.18
Tackles per match
15.11
League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Cesena vs Sampdoria prediction analysis
Review Cesena vs Sampdoria with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights