Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: CF Montreal vs DC United

CF Montreal vs DC United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-08-15 23:30
CF Montreal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
DC United
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
25%
2
38%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

CF Montreal (Home)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

DC United (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate72%

Team Form last 5 matches

CF Montreal
LLDLD
DC United
WDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 72%
11% +1.5 28%
5% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 72%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

CF Montreal averages 0.74 goals scored at home, while DC United averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
25%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 CF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United Draw
Mar 2025 CF Montreal(A) 0 - 0 DC United Draw
May 2024 CF Montreal 4 - 2 DC United Home
Mar 2024 CF Montreal(A) 0 - 1 DC United Away
May 2023 CF Montreal(A) 2 - 2 DC United Draw

In the last 5 meetings, CF Montreal won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

CF Montreal — unbeaten run (home)0
CF Montreal — scoring streak (home)0
DC United — winless run (away)3
DC United — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

CF Montreal Win (1)37%
Draw (X)25%
DC United Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 72%
11% +1.5 28%
5% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 28%
89% -1.5 72%
95% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

CF Montreal vs DC United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

CF Montreal — scored (home)0.74
CF Montreal — conceded (home)1.79
DC United — scored (away)1
DC United — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

CF Montreal — BTTS matches (home)53%
DC United — BTTS matches (away)72%
Combined (simple average)62.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

CF Montreal (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.6

DC United (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

CF Montreal
14 17 12 5 10
DC United
7 17 13 6 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

CF Montreal (home)

For2.4

DC United (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.10

CF Montreal

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.563%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.52
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.80

DC United

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.547%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.58
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.99

Shots per Game

CF Montreal — total shots (home)12.5
DC United — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

CF Montreal — on target (home)4.3
DC United — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

CF Montreal

Inside the box7.41
Outside the box3.97

DC United

Inside the box7.09
Outside the box3.82

Player Shots CF Montreal

J. Neal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Owusu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target26%
C. Clark
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Sealy
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
H. Synchuk
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots DC United

C. Benteke
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target40%
Peglow
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. MacNaughton
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
L. Bartlett
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Gabriel Pirani
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

CF Montreal xG (home)1.23
DC United xG (away)1.1

Average Possession

48.68% Possession 45.06%

Team Comparison CF Montreal vs DC United

82.43% Pass accuracy 78.15%
424.68 Passes per match 398.71
0.06 Goals prevented -0.04
12.65 Fouls committed 13.97
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.41
1.87 Offsides 1.35
16.2 Tackles per match 17.35

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

CF Montreal vs DC United prediction analysis

Review CF Montreal vs DC United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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