Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: CF Montreal vs Inter Miami

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-07-25 23:30
CF Montreal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-2
Inter Miami
Away

Prediction Summary

1
22%
X
21%
2
56%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

CF Montreal (Home)

Goals scored / match0.78
Goals conceded / match1.83
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate56%

Inter Miami (Away)

Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

CF Montreal
LDLDW
Inter Miami
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

61% +0.5 84%
11% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 42%
0% +3.5 32%
0% +4.5 11%
56% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

CF Montreal averages 0.78 goals scored at home, while Inter Miami averages 2.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
22%
Draw
21%
Away Win
56%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2025 CF Montreal 1 - 4 Inter Miami Away
May 2025 CF Montreal(A) 2 - 4 Inter Miami Away
May 2024 CF Montreal 2 - 3 Inter Miami Away
Mar 2024 CF Montreal(A) 3 - 2 Inter Miami Home
May 2023 CF Montreal 1 - 0 Inter Miami Home

In the last 5 meetings, CF Montreal won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

CF Montreal — unbeaten run (home)2
CF Montreal — scoring streak (home)0
Inter Miami — winless run (away)0
Inter Miami — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

CF Montreal Win (1)22%
Draw (X)21%
Inter Miami Win (2)56%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

61% +0.5 84%
11% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 42%
0% +3.5 32%
0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

39% -0.5 16%
89% -1.5 47%
94% -2.5 58%
100% -3.5 68%
100% -4.5 89%

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

CF Montreal — scored (home)0.78
CF Montreal — conceded (home)1.83
Inter Miami — scored (away)2.21
Inter Miami — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals3.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

CF Montreal — BTTS matches (home)56%
Inter Miami — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

CF Montreal (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.6

Inter Miami (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

CF Montreal
8 14 17 12 5
Inter Miami
6 6 7 2 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

CF Montreal (home)

For2.4

Inter Miami (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.542%
Under 25.558%
Expected total shots24.67

CF Montreal

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.31
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.83

Inter Miami

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.35
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.40

Shots per Game

CF Montreal — total shots (home)12.5
Inter Miami — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

CF Montreal — on target (home)4.3
Inter Miami — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

CF Montreal

Inside the box7.41
Outside the box3.97

Inter Miami

Inside the box8.55
Outside the box4.53

Player Shots CF Montreal

J. Neal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Owusu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target26%
C. Clark
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Sealy
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
H. Synchuk
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Inter Miami

L. Messi
Shots on Target/Game2.4
+0.5 On Target97%
+1.5 On Target82%
T. Allende
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target32%
L. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target36%
I. Fray
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target4%
Mateo Silvetti
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

CF Montreal xG (home)1.23
Inter Miami xG (away)1.95

Average Possession

48.68% Possession 55.93%

Team Comparison CF Montreal vs Inter Miami

82.43% Pass accuracy 86.88%
424.68 Passes per match 542.13
0.06 Goals prevented -0.28
12.65 Fouls committed 12.03
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.18
1.87 Offsides 1.64
16.2 Tackles per match 16.98

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami prediction analysis

Review CF Montreal vs Inter Miami with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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