Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: CF Montreal vs New England Revolution

CF Montreal vs New England Revolution prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-08-01 23:30
CF Montreal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
New England Revolution
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
25%
2
48%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

CF Montreal (Home)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

New England Revolution (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

CF Montreal
LLDLD
New England Revolution
WDDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 76%
11% +1.5 41%
5% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

CF Montreal averages 0.74 goals scored at home, while New England Revolution averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
25%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2025 CF Montreal(A) 3 - 1 New England Revolution Home
May 2025 CF Montreal 0 - 3 New England Revolution Away
Sep 2024 CF Montreal(A) 2 - 2 New England Revolution Draw
Aug 2024 CF Montreal 0 - 5 New England Revolution Away
Aug 2023 CF Montreal 1 - 0 New England Revolution Home

In the last 5 meetings, CF Montreal won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

CF Montreal — unbeaten run (home)0
CF Montreal — scoring streak (home)0
New England Revolution — winless run (away)3
New England Revolution — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

CF Montreal Win (1)27%
Draw (X)25%
New England Revolution Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 76%
11% +1.5 41%
5% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 24%
89% -1.5 59%
95% -2.5 76%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

CF Montreal vs New England Revolution — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

CF Montreal — scored (home)0.74
CF Montreal — conceded (home)1.79
New England Revolution — scored (away)1.41
New England Revolution — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

CF Montreal — BTTS matches (home)53%
New England Revolution — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

CF Montreal (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.6

New England Revolution (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

CF Montreal
14 17 12 5 10
New England Revolution
10 9 7 15 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

CF Montreal (home)

For2.4

New England Revolution (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.50

CF Montreal

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots14.74
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.04

New England Revolution

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.532%
Expected shots11.76
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.22

Shots per Game

CF Montreal — total shots (home)12.5
New England Revolution — total shots (away)12.0

Shots on Target

CF Montreal — on target (home)4.3
New England Revolution — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

CF Montreal

Inside the box7.41
Outside the box3.97

New England Revolution

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots CF Montreal

J. Neal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Owusu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target26%
C. Clark
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Sealy
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
H. Synchuk
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots New England Revolution

Carles Gil
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Urruti
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target10%
L. Campana
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
L. Díaz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Chancalay
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

CF Montreal xG (home)1.23
New England Revolution xG (away)1.28

Average Possession

48.68% Possession 49.62%

Team Comparison CF Montreal vs New England Revolution

82.43% Pass accuracy 83.81%
424.68 Passes per match 450.32
0.06 Goals prevented -0.04
12.65 Fouls committed 12
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.15
1.87 Offsides 2.16
16.2 Tackles per match 15.74

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

CF Montreal vs New England Revolution prediction and preview

Preview CF Montreal vs New England Revolution with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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