Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro

CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga MX 2026-07-27 01:06
CF Pachuca
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
CF Pachuca
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Club Queretaro
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
25%
2
20%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

CF Pachuca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.45
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate45%

Club Queretaro (Away)

Goals scored / match0.76
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

CF Pachuca
WLWWW
Club Queretaro
LWDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 53%
50% +1.5 24%
20% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
45% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

CF Pachuca averages 1.45 goals scored at home, while Club Queretaro averages 0.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
25%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 CF Pachuca(A) 0 - 0 Club Queretaro Draw
Sep 2025 CF Pachuca 0 - 2 Club Queretaro Away
Jan 2025 CF Pachuca(A) 1 - 0 Club Queretaro Home
Aug 2024 CF Pachuca 1 - 1 Club Queretaro Draw
Mar 2024 CF Pachuca 1 - 2 Club Queretaro Away

In the last 5 meetings, CF Pachuca won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

CF Pachuca — unbeaten run (home)2
CF Pachuca — scoring streak (home)2
Club Queretaro — winless run (away)0
Club Queretaro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

CF Pachuca Win (1)55%
Draw (X)25%
Club Queretaro Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 53%
50% +1.5 24%
20% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 47%
50% -1.5 76%
80% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

CF Pachuca — scored (home)1.45
CF Pachuca — conceded (home)0.95
Club Queretaro — scored (away)0.76
Club Queretaro — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals2.47

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

CF Pachuca — BTTS matches (home)45%
Club Queretaro — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)46%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

CF Pachuca (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.1

Club Queretaro (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

CF Pachuca
14 7 10 6 13
Club Queretaro
9 16 9 15 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

CF Pachuca (home)

For2.5

Club Queretaro (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.549%
Under 25.551%
Expected total shots26.07

CF Pachuca

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.572%
Shots Over 13.559%
Expected shots15.32
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.16

Club Queretaro

Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.75
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.63

Shots per Game

CF Pachuca — total shots (home)14.9
Club Queretaro — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

CF Pachuca — on target (home)4.8
Club Queretaro — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

CF Pachuca

Inside the box7.15
Outside the box6.8

Club Queretaro

Inside the box6.38
Outside the box4.65

Player Shots CF Pachuca

A. Domínguez
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target10%
S. Rondón
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Cádiz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target27%
I. Hernández
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Club Queretaro

A. Perez
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Homenchenko
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target24%
M. Coronel
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Julio
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Ávila
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

CF Pachuca xG (home)1.09
Club Queretaro xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

48.75% Possession 36.5%

Team Comparison CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro

82.83% Pass accuracy 76.53%
400.3 Passes per match 287.94
-0.23 Goals prevented -0.13
13.45 Fouls committed 12.88
2.68 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
1.58 Offsides 1.94
16 Tackles per match 16.37

League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro prediction analysis

Review CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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